Recent forecast models for Shanghai indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures on August 23, with 31–32°C emerging as the most likely outcomes amid scattered thundershowers and variable cloud cover typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. High humidity levels above 70% and potential afternoon convection limit radiative heating, while steering patterns and sea breeze effects from the East China Sea further moderate peaks. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 31–32°C, but short-term model runs diverge on precipitation timing and intensity, sustaining tight market-implied odds between these two thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the outlook ahead of the date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日上海最高溫度？
8月23日上海最高溫度？
31°C 47%
32°C 37%
30°C 11%
33°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
11%
31°C
47%
32°C
37%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 47%
32°C 37%
30°C 11%
33°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
26°C or below
$274 交易量
<1%
27°C
$466 交易量
1%
28°C
$139 交易量
2%
29°C
$184 交易量
4%
30°C
$722 交易量
11%
31°C
$430 交易量
47%
32°C
$649 交易量
37%
33°C
$113 交易量
5%
34°C
$164 交易量
2%
35°C
$151 交易量
1%
36°C or higher
$280 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Shanghai indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures on August 23, with 31–32°C emerging as the most likely outcomes amid scattered thundershowers and variable cloud cover typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. High humidity levels above 70% and potential afternoon convection limit radiative heating, while steering patterns and sea breeze effects from the East China Sea further moderate peaks. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 31–32°C, but short-term model runs diverge on precipitation timing and intensity, sustaining tight market-implied odds between these two thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the outlook ahead of the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,572結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models for Shanghai indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures on August 23, with 31–32°C emerging as the most likely outcomes amid scattered thundershowers and variable cloud cover typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. High humidity levels above 70% and potential afternoon convection limit radiative heating, while steering patterns and sea breeze effects from the East China Sea further moderate peaks. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 31–32°C, but short-term model runs diverge on precipitation timing and intensity, sustaining tight market-implied odds between these two thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the outlook ahead of the date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,572結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast models for Shanghai indicate a narrow range of maximum temperatures on August 23, with 31–32°C emerging as the most likely outcomes amid scattered thundershowers and variable cloud cover typical of the East Asian summer monsoon. High humidity levels above 70% and potential afternoon convection limit radiative heating, while steering patterns and sea breeze effects from the East China Sea further moderate peaks. Historical August climatology shows mean highs near 31–32°C, but short-term model runs diverge on precipitation timing and intensity, sustaining tight market-implied odds between these two thresholds. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the outlook ahead of the date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions