Current forecast consensus from multiple models positions the maximum temperature in Munich on August 23 at 21–23°C under stabilizing high pressure near 1022 hPa, light northerly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk. This setup favors modest daytime heating typical for late August, following cooler air advection after earlier heat in the month. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 22°C, explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C (43%) and 23°C (30.5%), with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting model spread and potential minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日慕尼黑最高溫度?
22°C 43%
23°C 30%
21°C 10%
24°C 9%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
10%
22°C
43%
23°C
30%
24°C
9%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 43%
23°C 30%
21°C 10%
24°C 9%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
10%
22°C
43%
23°C
30%
24°C
9%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast consensus from multiple models positions the maximum temperature in Munich on August 23 at 21–23°C under stabilizing high pressure near 1022 hPa, light northerly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk. This setup favors modest daytime heating typical for late August, following cooler air advection after earlier heat in the month. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 22°C, explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C (43%) and 23°C (30.5%), with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting model spread and potential minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions