Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and thunderstorms driven by a lingering low-pressure band and enhanced southwest monsoon flow are suppressing solar heating and capping daytime highs in Taipei on August 25. Official Central Weather Administration forecasts issued August 24 project a maximum of 26–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with frequent rain, aligning with model consensus from multiple sources showing limited diurnal warming. This contrasts with climatological August averages near 32°C and explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C. Any overnight model adjustments or unexpected breaks in cloud cover before peak heating could shift outcomes slightly higher, though heavy rain chances remain elevated through the afternoon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日臺北氣溫最高？
8月25日臺北氣溫最高？
31°C 28%
30°C 26%
29°C 19%
32°C 15%
最新
$10,092 交易量
最新
$10,092 交易量
2026-08-25
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
19%
30°C
26%
31°C
28%
32°C
15%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 28%
30°C 26%
29°C 19%
32°C 15%
最新
$10,092 交易量
最新
$10,092 交易量
2026-08-25
25°C or below
$141 交易量
<1%
26°C
$90 交易量
1%
27°C
$1,387 交易量
1%
28°C
$1,883 交易量
9%
29°C
$1,643 交易量
19%
30°C
$1,116 交易量
26%
31°C
$1,051 交易量
28%
32°C
$1,553 交易量
15%
33°C
$870 交易量
3%
34°C
$15 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$344 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and thunderstorms driven by a lingering low-pressure band and enhanced southwest monsoon flow are suppressing solar heating and capping daytime highs in Taipei on August 25. Official Central Weather Administration forecasts issued August 24 project a maximum of 26–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with frequent rain, aligning with model consensus from multiple sources showing limited diurnal warming. This contrasts with climatological August averages near 32°C and explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C. Any overnight model adjustments or unexpected breaks in cloud cover before peak heating could shift outcomes slightly higher, though heavy rain chances remain elevated through the afternoon.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$10,092結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and thunderstorms driven by a lingering low-pressure band and enhanced southwest monsoon flow are suppressing solar heating and capping daytime highs in Taipei on August 25. Official Central Weather Administration forecasts issued August 24 project a maximum of 26–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with frequent rain, aligning with model consensus from multiple sources showing limited diurnal warming. This contrasts with climatological August averages near 32°C and explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C. Any overnight model adjustments or unexpected breaks in cloud cover before peak heating could shift outcomes slightly higher, though heavy rain chances remain elevated through the afternoon.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,092結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETPersistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and thunderstorms driven by a lingering low-pressure band and enhanced southwest monsoon flow are suppressing solar heating and capping daytime highs in Taipei on August 25. Official Central Weather Administration forecasts issued August 24 project a maximum of 26–31°C under mostly cloudy skies with frequent rain, aligning with model consensus from multiple sources showing limited diurnal warming. This contrasts with climatological August averages near 32°C and explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 30–31°C. Any overnight model adjustments or unexpected breaks in cloud cover before peak heating could shift outcomes slightly higher, though heavy rain chances remain elevated through the afternoon.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions