Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Karachi highs near 30–34°C for August 26 amid the ongoing monsoon, with cloud cover, humidity, and possible scattered showers moderating daytime peaks below the seasonal average of 31–32°C. Recent observations, including a 30°C high on August 22, align with Pakistan Meteorological Department trends of below-normal temperatures in southern Sindh. These conditions position 32°C as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, followed by 33°C and 31°C, as traders weigh model consensus on limited intensification against the potential for clearer skies or heavier rain to shift outcomes. New observational data and updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution thresholds near official recording stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日卡拉奇的最高溫度?
32°C 50%
33°C 19%
31°C 19%
30°C 6.7%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
19%
32°C
50%
33°C
19%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C或更高
1%
32°C 50%
33°C 19%
31°C 19%
30°C 6.7%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
19%
32°C
50%
33°C
19%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate Karachi highs near 30–34°C for August 26 amid the ongoing monsoon, with cloud cover, humidity, and possible scattered showers moderating daytime peaks below the seasonal average of 31–32°C. Recent observations, including a 30°C high on August 22, align with Pakistan Meteorological Department trends of below-normal temperatures in southern Sindh. These conditions position 32°C as the market leader at 49.5% implied probability, followed by 33°C and 31°C, as traders weigh model consensus on limited intensification against the potential for clearer skies or heavier rain to shift outcomes. New observational data and updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution thresholds near official recording stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions