**Official observations from São Paulo’s primary meteorological station recorded a minimum temperature of 16°C on August 26, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-event forecast consensus and driving the near-certain 99.6% market-implied probability.** Mild winter conditions prevailed with light northerly winds, moderate humidity, and no significant cold-air advection or frontal passage that would typically lower overnight temperatures below seasonal norms of 12–16°C. Multiple model runs and station reports converged on this value, with hourly data showing the lowest readings clustered near 16°C during pre-dawn hours. Realistic challenges remain limited to rare post-event data revisions by INMET or station-specific discrepancies, though current verification supports the recorded minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日聖保羅最低溫度？
8月26日聖保羅最低溫度？
16°C 100.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$2,726 交易量
$2,726 交易量
2026-08-26
10°C或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
是
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或更高
否
16°C 100.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$2,726 交易量
$2,726 交易量
2026-08-26
10°C或以下
$736 交易量
否
11°C
$40 交易量
否
12°C
$99 交易量
否
13°C
$118 交易量
否
14°C
$141 交易量
否
15°C
$79 交易量
否
16°C
$1,105 交易量
是
17°C
$242 交易量
否
18°C
$72 交易量
否
19°C
$50 交易量
否
20°C或更高
$45 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from São Paulo’s primary meteorological station recorded a minimum temperature of 16°C on August 26, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-event forecast consensus and driving the near-certain 99.6% market-implied probability.**
Mild winter conditions prevailed with light northerly winds, moderate humidity, and no significant cold-air advection or frontal passage that would typically lower overnight temperatures below seasonal norms of 12–16°C. Multiple model runs and station reports converged on this value, with hourly data showing the lowest readings clustered near 16°C during pre-dawn hours.
Realistic challenges remain limited to rare post-event data revisions by INMET or station-specific discrepancies, though current verification supports the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$2,726結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official observations from São Paulo’s primary meteorological station recorded a minimum temperature of 16°C on August 26, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-event forecast consensus and driving the near-certain 99.6% market-implied probability.**
Mild winter conditions prevailed with light northerly winds, moderate humidity, and no significant cold-air advection or frontal passage that would typically lower overnight temperatures below seasonal norms of 12–16°C. Multiple model runs and station reports converged on this value, with hourly data showing the lowest readings clustered near 16°C during pre-dawn hours.
Realistic challenges remain limited to rare post-event data revisions by INMET or station-specific discrepancies, though current verification supports the recorded minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,726結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Official observations from São Paulo’s primary meteorological station recorded a minimum temperature of 16°C on August 26, 2026, aligning precisely with pre-event forecast consensus and driving the near-certain 99.6% market-implied probability.** Mild winter conditions prevailed with light northerly winds, moderate humidity, and no significant cold-air advection or frontal passage that would typically lower overnight temperatures below seasonal norms of 12–16°C. Multiple model runs and station reports converged on this value, with hourly data showing the lowest readings clustered near 16°C during pre-dawn hours. Realistic challenges remain limited to rare post-event data revisions by INMET or station-specific discrepancies, though current verification supports the recorded minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions