Traders see roughly equal 48.5% implied probabilities on a Toronto low of 9 °C or below versus 19 °C or higher for August 26 because official guidance and ensemble models remain split on overnight radiational cooling. Environment Canada currently forecasts a cloudy night with a 30% shower chance and a minimum near 17 °C, while longer-range guidance from AccuWeather and the Old Farmer’s Almanac highlights warm, thundery conditions through the 22–26 window that could limit clear-sky cooling. Key differentiators include the timing and extent of any cloud breaks, wind speeds that suppress surface inversions, and the precise track of an upper-level disturbance; even modest clearing could drop readings several degrees below climatological norms of 15–16 °C, whereas persistent cloud or a warmer air mass would keep lows in the upper teens. Resolution hinges on the final observational minimum reported for the calendar day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日多倫多氣溫最低？
8月26日多倫多氣溫最低？
19°C或以上 97%
9°C或以下 96%
12°C 49%
10°C 47%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
9°C或以下
96%
10°C
47%
11°C
47%
12°C
49%
13°C
25%
14°C
25%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C或以上
97%
19°C或以上 97%
9°C或以下 96%
12°C 49%
10°C 47%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
9°C或以下
$5 交易量
96%
10°C
$5 交易量
47%
11°C
$5 交易量
47%
12°C
$5 交易量
49%
13°C
$0 交易量
25%
14°C
$0 交易量
25%
15°C
$0 交易量
26%
16°C
$0 交易量
26%
17°C
$0 交易量
25%
18°C
$0 交易量
25%
19°C或以上
$5 交易量
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see roughly equal 48.5% implied probabilities on a Toronto low of 9 °C or below versus 19 °C or higher for August 26 because official guidance and ensemble models remain split on overnight radiational cooling. Environment Canada currently forecasts a cloudy night with a 30% shower chance and a minimum near 17 °C, while longer-range guidance from AccuWeather and the Old Farmer’s Almanac highlights warm, thundery conditions through the 22–26 window that could limit clear-sky cooling. Key differentiators include the timing and extent of any cloud breaks, wind speeds that suppress surface inversions, and the precise track of an upper-level disturbance; even modest clearing could drop readings several degrees below climatological norms of 15–16 °C, whereas persistent cloud or a warmer air mass would keep lows in the upper teens. Resolution hinges on the final observational minimum reported for the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$25結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see roughly equal 48.5% implied probabilities on a Toronto low of 9 °C or below versus 19 °C or higher for August 26 because official guidance and ensemble models remain split on overnight radiational cooling. Environment Canada currently forecasts a cloudy night with a 30% shower chance and a minimum near 17 °C, while longer-range guidance from AccuWeather and the Old Farmer’s Almanac highlights warm, thundery conditions through the 22–26 window that could limit clear-sky cooling. Key differentiators include the timing and extent of any cloud breaks, wind speeds that suppress surface inversions, and the precise track of an upper-level disturbance; even modest clearing could drop readings several degrees below climatological norms of 15–16 °C, whereas persistent cloud or a warmer air mass would keep lows in the upper teens. Resolution hinges on the final observational minimum reported for the calendar day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETTraders see roughly equal 48.5% implied probabilities on a Toronto low of 9 °C or below versus 19 °C or higher for August 26 because official guidance and ensemble models remain split on overnight radiational cooling. Environment Canada currently forecasts a cloudy night with a 30% shower chance and a minimum near 17 °C, while longer-range guidance from AccuWeather and the Old Farmer’s Almanac highlights warm, thundery conditions through the 22–26 window that could limit clear-sky cooling. Key differentiators include the timing and extent of any cloud breaks, wind speeds that suppress surface inversions, and the precise track of an upper-level disturbance; even modest clearing could drop readings several degrees below climatological norms of 15–16 °C, whereas persistent cloud or a warmer air mass would keep lows in the upper teens. Resolution hinges on the final observational minimum reported for the calendar day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions