**Trader consensus centers on an 84–87°F peak for the official Los Angeles temperature on August 26, reflecting National Weather Service guidance that marine-layer stratus and persistent onshore flow will moderate conditions at the primary reporting station.** Coastal and airport sites are forecast to reach only the lower-to-mid 80s after morning low clouds and fog clear, while stronger heat builds farther inland under the expanding upper-level ridge. Recent model runs and NWS zone forecasts show little change through mid-week, with southwest winds near 15 mph limiting further warming. Historical August averages near 77°F and the absence of strong offshore flow keep probabilities tightly clustered around these values, though any late-day clearing or forecast shift could nudge readings slightly higher before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯8月26日的最高溫度?
84-85°F 43%
86-87°F 28%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 14%
79°F or below
3%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
43%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
3%
華氏98度或更高
<1%
84-85°F 43%
86-87°F 28%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 14%
79°F or below
3%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
43%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
3%
華氏98度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus centers on an 84–87°F peak for the official Los Angeles temperature on August 26, reflecting National Weather Service guidance that marine-layer stratus and persistent onshore flow will moderate conditions at the primary reporting station.** Coastal and airport sites are forecast to reach only the lower-to-mid 80s after morning low clouds and fog clear, while stronger heat builds farther inland under the expanding upper-level ridge. Recent model runs and NWS zone forecasts show little change through mid-week, with southwest winds near 15 mph limiting further warming. Historical August averages near 77°F and the absence of strong offshore flow keep probabilities tightly clustered around these values, though any late-day clearing or forecast shift could nudge readings slightly higher before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions