**Clear skies and light northwest winds overnight have allowed radiational cooling to set the stage for a minimum temperature in the upper 60s in New York City on August 26, 2026.** Official NWS forecasts and early-morning observations from stations including Central Park and Newark Liberty International Airport show temperatures bottoming near 65–69°F around 3–6 a.m. EDT, with dew points in the upper 50s supporting efficient cooling under mostly clear conditions. Daytime heating under sunny skies is expected to reach the low-to-mid 80s, confirming that the calendar-day low will occur during the pre-dawn hours. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 68–69°F bin (78.5%) because recent model guidance and real-time surface observations have converged on this narrow range, consistent with climatological averages for late August (normal low near 67–70°F) and the absence of any stronger cold-air advection or cloud cover that would push readings lower. Lower-probability outcomes (64–67°F) reflect residual uncertainty in exact radiational cooling rates, while sub-64°F bins remain remote given the current thermal profile and lack of supporting synoptic features. Traders are monitoring the final hourly reports through dawn for any last adjustments in the minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日紐約市的最低溫度？
8月26日紐約市的最低溫度？
68-69°F 81%
66-67°F 18%
62-63°F 5%
64-65°F 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
55°F或以下
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
81%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
華氏74度或以上
<1%
68-69°F 81%
66-67°F 18%
62-63°F 5%
64-65°F 2%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
55°F或以下
$411 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$220 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$597 交易量
1%
60-61°F
$464 交易量
1%
62-63°F
$249 交易量
5%
64-65°F
$249 交易量
16%
66-67°F
$168 交易量
18%
68-69°F
$1,301 交易量
81%
70-71°F
$865 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$898 交易量
<1%
華氏74度或以上
$98 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light northwest winds overnight have allowed radiational cooling to set the stage for a minimum temperature in the upper 60s in New York City on August 26, 2026.**
Official NWS forecasts and early-morning observations from stations including Central Park and Newark Liberty International Airport show temperatures bottoming near 65–69°F around 3–6 a.m. EDT, with dew points in the upper 50s supporting efficient cooling under mostly clear conditions. Daytime heating under sunny skies is expected to reach the low-to-mid 80s, confirming that the calendar-day low will occur during the pre-dawn hours.
Market-implied odds heavily favor the 68–69°F bin (78.5%) because recent model guidance and real-time surface observations have converged on this narrow range, consistent with climatological averages for late August (normal low near 67–70°F) and the absence of any stronger cold-air advection or cloud cover that would push readings lower. Lower-probability outcomes (64–67°F) reflect residual uncertainty in exact radiational cooling rates, while sub-64°F bins remain remote given the current thermal profile and lack of supporting synoptic features.
Traders are monitoring the final hourly reports through dawn for any last adjustments in the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$5,520結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light northwest winds overnight have allowed radiational cooling to set the stage for a minimum temperature in the upper 60s in New York City on August 26, 2026.**
Official NWS forecasts and early-morning observations from stations including Central Park and Newark Liberty International Airport show temperatures bottoming near 65–69°F around 3–6 a.m. EDT, with dew points in the upper 50s supporting efficient cooling under mostly clear conditions. Daytime heating under sunny skies is expected to reach the low-to-mid 80s, confirming that the calendar-day low will occur during the pre-dawn hours.
Market-implied odds heavily favor the 68–69°F bin (78.5%) because recent model guidance and real-time surface observations have converged on this narrow range, consistent with climatological averages for late August (normal low near 67–70°F) and the absence of any stronger cold-air advection or cloud cover that would push readings lower. Lower-probability outcomes (64–67°F) reflect residual uncertainty in exact radiational cooling rates, while sub-64°F bins remain remote given the current thermal profile and lack of supporting synoptic features.
Traders are monitoring the final hourly reports through dawn for any last adjustments in the minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,520結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET**Clear skies and light northwest winds overnight have allowed radiational cooling to set the stage for a minimum temperature in the upper 60s in New York City on August 26, 2026.** Official NWS forecasts and early-morning observations from stations including Central Park and Newark Liberty International Airport show temperatures bottoming near 65–69°F around 3–6 a.m. EDT, with dew points in the upper 50s supporting efficient cooling under mostly clear conditions. Daytime heating under sunny skies is expected to reach the low-to-mid 80s, confirming that the calendar-day low will occur during the pre-dawn hours. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 68–69°F bin (78.5%) because recent model guidance and real-time surface observations have converged on this narrow range, consistent with climatological averages for late August (normal low near 67–70°F) and the absence of any stronger cold-air advection or cloud cover that would push readings lower. Lower-probability outcomes (64–67°F) reflect residual uncertainty in exact radiational cooling rates, while sub-64°F bins remain remote given the current thermal profile and lack of supporting synoptic features. Traders are monitoring the final hourly reports through dawn for any last adjustments in the minimum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions