**Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 29°C on August 26, 2026, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Persistent rain, heavy cloud cover, and a moist southwesterly flow kept temperatures well below the month’s seasonal peaks near 32–33°C, consistent with regional patterns during active monsoon or post-typhoon conditions. Traders treat the HKO’s verified reading—taken at the principal station using standard WMO-aligned methods—as the definitive resolution criterion, leaving negligible probability for any other threshold. The only realistic challenges would involve an unforeseen post-publication data revision or a shift to an alternate station reading, both exceedingly rare once preliminary figures are released. Market consensus reflects high confidence in these authoritative measurements rather than forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日香港最高溫度？
8月26日香港最高溫度？
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$139,915 交易量
$139,915 交易量
2026-08-26
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$139,915 交易量
$139,915 交易量
2026-08-26
24°C or below
$778 交易量
No
25°C
$389 交易量
No
26°C
$509 交易量
No
27°C
$1,049 交易量
No
28°C
$9,173 交易量
No
29°C
$54,817 交易量
Yes
30°C
$37,291 交易量
No
31°C
$13,203 交易量
No
32°C
$12,346 交易量
No
33°C
$8,864 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$1,496 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 29°C on August 26, 2026, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Persistent rain, heavy cloud cover, and a moist southwesterly flow kept temperatures well below the month’s seasonal peaks near 32–33°C, consistent with regional patterns during active monsoon or post-typhoon conditions. Traders treat the HKO’s verified reading—taken at the principal station using standard WMO-aligned methods—as the definitive resolution criterion, leaving negligible probability for any other threshold. The only realistic challenges would involve an unforeseen post-publication data revision or a shift to an alternate station reading, both exceedingly rare once preliminary figures are released. Market consensus reflects high confidence in these authoritative measurements rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$139,915結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 29°C on August 26, 2026, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Persistent rain, heavy cloud cover, and a moist southwesterly flow kept temperatures well below the month’s seasonal peaks near 32–33°C, consistent with regional patterns during active monsoon or post-typhoon conditions. Traders treat the HKO’s verified reading—taken at the principal station using standard WMO-aligned methods—as the definitive resolution criterion, leaving negligible probability for any other threshold. The only realistic challenges would involve an unforeseen post-publication data revision or a shift to an alternate station reading, both exceedingly rare once preliminary figures are released. Market consensus reflects high confidence in these authoritative measurements rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$139,915結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of 29°C on August 26, 2026, driving the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome.** Persistent rain, heavy cloud cover, and a moist southwesterly flow kept temperatures well below the month’s seasonal peaks near 32–33°C, consistent with regional patterns during active monsoon or post-typhoon conditions. Traders treat the HKO’s verified reading—taken at the principal station using standard WMO-aligned methods—as the definitive resolution criterion, leaving negligible probability for any other threshold. The only realistic challenges would involve an unforeseen post-publication data revision or a shift to an alternate station reading, both exceedingly rare once preliminary figures are released. Market consensus reflects high confidence in these authoritative measurements rather than forecasts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions