Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a cooling trend for Istanbul on August 28, 2026, driven by strengthening northerly winds and increased cloud cover or scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Current conditions on August 26 feature highs near 29–30°C under mostly sunny skies, but models project a drop to daily maxima of 24–26°C by the 28th as cooler maritime air advects southward. This aligns with historical late-August patterns, where temperatures typically decline from midsummer peaks amid shifting wind regimes. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading implied probabilities for 24°C and 23°C, incorporates these official guidance updates and the narrow resolution window, with uncertainty remaining around exact model runs and any last-minute convective activity that could alter peak readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度?
24°C 53%
23°C 30%
25°C 26%
26°C 21%
19°C or below
6%
20°C
2%
21°C
6%
22°C
6%
23°C
30%
24°C
47%
25°C
26%
26°C
21%
27°C
7%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
3%
24°C 53%
23°C 30%
25°C 26%
26°C 21%
19°C or below
6%
20°C
2%
21°C
6%
22°C
6%
23°C
30%
24°C
47%
25°C
26%
26°C
21%
27°C
7%
28°C
5%
29°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a cooling trend for Istanbul on August 28, 2026, driven by strengthening northerly winds and increased cloud cover or scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Current conditions on August 26 feature highs near 29–30°C under mostly sunny skies, but models project a drop to daily maxima of 24–26°C by the 28th as cooler maritime air advects southward. This aligns with historical late-August patterns, where temperatures typically decline from midsummer peaks amid shifting wind regimes. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading implied probabilities for 24°C and 23°C, incorporates these official guidance updates and the narrow resolution window, with uncertainty remaining around exact model runs and any last-minute convective activity that could alter peak readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions