Recent meteorological observations and forecast model consensus from agencies tracking the region show Istanbul experiencing mostly sunny conditions with a peak temperature stabilizing near 28°C on August 26, driven by moderate northerly winds, low humidity around 50-60%, and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. This aligns with seasonal norms for late summer, where typical highs range 27-30°C, and current data releases indicate no significant deviation from earlier model runs. Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C as the official high, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of measurement thresholds at primary stations. Scenarios that could challenge this include unexpected afternoon cloud buildup or localized wind shifts raising readings to 29°C, though latest updates make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度?
28°C 99.3%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$30,804 交易量
$30,804 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
99%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.3%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$30,804 交易量
$30,804 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
99%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological observations and forecast model consensus from agencies tracking the region show Istanbul experiencing mostly sunny conditions with a peak temperature stabilizing near 28°C on August 26, driven by moderate northerly winds, low humidity around 50-60%, and minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. This aligns with seasonal norms for late summer, where typical highs range 27-30°C, and current data releases indicate no significant deviation from earlier model runs. Trader consensus heavily favors 28°C as the official high, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of measurement thresholds at primary stations. Scenarios that could challenge this include unexpected afternoon cloud buildup or localized wind shifts raising readings to 29°C, though latest updates make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions