Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models and Turkish meteorological services project a minimum temperature near 23°C for Istanbul on August 27, reflecting mostly clear skies, moderate northerly winds, and typical late-summer conditions without significant frontal systems or cloud cover that would alter radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for the date and explains the market's strong 93.5% implied probability on 23°C. Official station observations or final verification data could still shift the recorded low by 1°C if localized effects such as increased humidity, brief showers, or wind variations occur overnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
8月27日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
23°C 99%
20°C 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
$2,765 交易量
$2,765 交易量
2026-08-27
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 99%
20°C 1.0%
21°C 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
$2,765 交易量
$2,765 交易量
2026-08-27
18°C or below
$477 交易量
No
19°C
$344 交易量
No
20°C
$90 交易量
No
21°C
$74 交易量
No
22°C
$77 交易量
No
23°C
$766 交易量
Yes
24°C
$239 交易量
No
25°C
$50 交易量
No
26°C
$310 交易量
No
27°C
$310 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$30 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models and Turkish meteorological services project a minimum temperature near 23°C for Istanbul on August 27, reflecting mostly clear skies, moderate northerly winds, and typical late-summer conditions without significant frontal systems or cloud cover that would alter radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for the date and explains the market's strong 93.5% implied probability on 23°C. Official station observations or final verification data could still shift the recorded low by 1°C if localized effects such as increased humidity, brief showers, or wind variations occur overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$2,765結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models and Turkish meteorological services project a minimum temperature near 23°C for Istanbul on August 27, reflecting mostly clear skies, moderate northerly winds, and typical late-summer conditions without significant frontal systems or cloud cover that would alter radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for the date and explains the market's strong 93.5% implied probability on 23°C. Official station observations or final verification data could still shift the recorded low by 1°C if localized effects such as increased humidity, brief showers, or wind variations occur overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,765結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from multiple models and Turkish meteorological services project a minimum temperature near 23°C for Istanbul on August 27, reflecting mostly clear skies, moderate northerly winds, and typical late-summer conditions without significant frontal systems or cloud cover that would alter radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for the date and explains the market's strong 93.5% implied probability on 23°C. Official station observations or final verification data could still shift the recorded low by 1°C if localized effects such as increased humidity, brief showers, or wind variations occur overnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions