Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a daytime high in London on August 26 likely reaching 25–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and scattered showers possible. These conditions stem from an approaching low-pressure system that limits strong solar heating and promotes modest moisture advection from the North Sea, keeping surface temperatures close to seasonal norms rather than allowing greater warming. Model runs show minor variations in cloud timing and precipitation intensity that could nudge the peak by 1°C either way, creating tight market-implied odds between the 25°C and 26°C outcomes while downweighting extremes above 27°C or below 24°C. Updated guidance ahead of peak heating hours will refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日倫敦的最高溫度?
26°C 35%
25°C 34%
27°C 18%
24°C 10%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
10%
25°C
34%
26°C
35%
27°C
18%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 35%
25°C 34%
27°C 18%
24°C 10%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
10%
25°C
34%
26°C
35%
27°C
18%
28°C
4%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a daytime high in London on August 26 likely reaching 25–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southeast winds and scattered showers possible. These conditions stem from an approaching low-pressure system that limits strong solar heating and promotes modest moisture advection from the North Sea, keeping surface temperatures close to seasonal norms rather than allowing greater warming. Model runs show minor variations in cloud timing and precipitation intensity that could nudge the peak by 1°C either way, creating tight market-implied odds between the 25°C and 26°C outcomes while downweighting extremes above 27°C or below 24°C. Updated guidance ahead of peak heating hours will refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions