Current Met Office forecasts for London on August 26 point to an overnight minimum near 17–18°C, with early morning readings holding around 18°C amid warm, humid air and lingering cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 18°C (69.5% implied probability) over 17°C, as the urban heat island and elevated dew points suppress further drops despite scattered showers and thunderstorm activity. Model consensus shows little support for sub-17°C readings, consistent with late-August climatology where typical minima hover near 14–16°C but current conditions run warmer. Updated guidance later today could refine the exact low before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日倫敦的最低溫度?
18°C 71%
17°C 24%
16°C 5%
15°C 2.0%
$10,308 交易量
$10,308 交易量
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
17%
18°C
70%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
<1%
18°C 71%
17°C 24%
16°C 5%
15°C 2.0%
$10,308 交易量
$10,308 交易量
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
17%
18°C
70%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current Met Office forecasts for London on August 26 point to an overnight minimum near 17–18°C, with early morning readings holding around 18°C amid warm, humid air and lingering cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 18°C (69.5% implied probability) over 17°C, as the urban heat island and elevated dew points suppress further drops despite scattered showers and thunderstorm activity. Model consensus shows little support for sub-17°C readings, consistent with late-August climatology where typical minima hover near 14–16°C but current conditions run warmer. Updated guidance later today could refine the exact low before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions