Recent Met Office and regional forecast models show mild overnight conditions in London on August 27, with persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds around 6–10 mph, and dew points near 14–15°C limiting radiative cooling and holding the minimum near 19°C. This aligns with the market's 98.3% implied probability for a 19°C low, reflecting trader consensus on verified observations and model consensus rather than typical August minima around 14–16°C. A shift toward clearer skies or lighter winds could allow temperatures to fall to 17–18°C before midnight, though current guidance and live station data make such a drop unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日倫敦的最低溫度？
8月27日倫敦的最低溫度？
19°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$14,282 交易量
$14,282 交易量
2026-08-27
13°C或以下
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C或更高
否
19°C 100.0%
13°C或以下 <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$14,282 交易量
$14,282 交易量
2026-08-27
13°C或以下
$83 交易量
否
14°C
$83 交易量
否
15°C
$1,094 交易量
否
16°C
$1,710 交易量
否
17°C
$1,193 交易量
否
18°C
$1,595 交易量
否
19°C
$2,901 交易量
是
20°C
$1,960 交易量
否
21°C
$1,863 交易量
否
22°C
$1,751 交易量
否
23°C或更高
$50 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and regional forecast models show mild overnight conditions in London on August 27, with persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds around 6–10 mph, and dew points near 14–15°C limiting radiative cooling and holding the minimum near 19°C. This aligns with the market's 98.3% implied probability for a 19°C low, reflecting trader consensus on verified observations and model consensus rather than typical August minima around 14–16°C. A shift toward clearer skies or lighter winds could allow temperatures to fall to 17–18°C before midnight, though current guidance and live station data make such a drop unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$14,282結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and regional forecast models show mild overnight conditions in London on August 27, with persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds around 6–10 mph, and dew points near 14–15°C limiting radiative cooling and holding the minimum near 19°C. This aligns with the market's 98.3% implied probability for a 19°C low, reflecting trader consensus on verified observations and model consensus rather than typical August minima around 14–16°C. A shift toward clearer skies or lighter winds could allow temperatures to fall to 17–18°C before midnight, though current guidance and live station data make such a drop unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,282結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent Met Office and regional forecast models show mild overnight conditions in London on August 27, with persistent cloud cover, southwesterly winds around 6–10 mph, and dew points near 14–15°C limiting radiative cooling and holding the minimum near 19°C. This aligns with the market's 98.3% implied probability for a 19°C low, reflecting trader consensus on verified observations and model consensus rather than typical August minima around 14–16°C. A shift toward clearer skies or lighter winds could allow temperatures to fall to 17–18°C before midnight, though current guidance and live station data make such a drop unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions