Official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate overnight minima of 13–15°C into August 31 under southwesterly flow and lingering cloud cover, which limits radiational cooling and supports the market’s emphasis on 15°C. Recent model runs show showers easing overnight on the 30th, yielding mostly dry but humid conditions that hold temperatures above the long-term August average low of roughly 13°C. Breezy winds further moderate extremes, while daytime heating to near 22°C has little bearing on the daily minimum. These patterns align with typical late-summer Atlantic influence, leaving limited scope for colder outliers unless clear skies develop unexpectedly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日倫敦的最低溫度？
8月31日倫敦的最低溫度？
15°C 53%
16°C 36%
14°C 9%
13°C 4.0%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
9%
15°C
53%
16°C
36%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
15°C 53%
16°C 36%
14°C 9%
13°C 4.0%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
10°C或以下
$171 交易量
<1%
11°C
$289 交易量
<1%
12°C
$206 交易量
<1%
13°C
$315 交易量
4%
14°C
$289 交易量
9%
15°C
$961 交易量
53%
16°C
$931 交易量
36%
17°C
$119 交易量
3%
18°C
$204 交易量
<1%
19°C
$60 交易量
<1%
20°C或以上
$79 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate overnight minima of 13–15°C into August 31 under southwesterly flow and lingering cloud cover, which limits radiational cooling and supports the market’s emphasis on 15°C. Recent model runs show showers easing overnight on the 30th, yielding mostly dry but humid conditions that hold temperatures above the long-term August average low of roughly 13°C. Breezy winds further moderate extremes, while daytime heating to near 22°C has little bearing on the daily minimum. These patterns align with typical late-summer Atlantic influence, leaving limited scope for colder outliers unless clear skies develop unexpectedly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$3,623結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate overnight minima of 13–15°C into August 31 under southwesterly flow and lingering cloud cover, which limits radiational cooling and supports the market’s emphasis on 15°C. Recent model runs show showers easing overnight on the 30th, yielding mostly dry but humid conditions that hold temperatures above the long-term August average low of roughly 13°C. Breezy winds further moderate extremes, while daytime heating to near 22°C has little bearing on the daily minimum. These patterns align with typical late-summer Atlantic influence, leaving limited scope for colder outliers unless clear skies develop unexpectedly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,623結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETOfficial forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate overnight minima of 13–15°C into August 31 under southwesterly flow and lingering cloud cover, which limits radiational cooling and supports the market’s emphasis on 15°C. Recent model runs show showers easing overnight on the 30th, yielding mostly dry but humid conditions that hold temperatures above the long-term August average low of roughly 13°C. Breezy winds further moderate extremes, while daytime heating to near 22°C has little bearing on the daily minimum. These patterns align with typical late-summer Atlantic influence, leaving limited scope for colder outliers unless clear skies develop unexpectedly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions