Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble models project a daytime maximum of 22°C in London on August 31, aligning with the market's leading 46.5% implied probability for that outcome. Late-summer conditions feature moderate westerly flow, scattered showers, and cloud cover that limit strong diurnal heating, keeping values near the long-term climatological average of 20–22°C rather than supporting warmer or cooler extremes. Model runs show tight clustering around 21–23°C, with minor spread arising from variable shower timing and boundary-layer moisture, which explains the secondary weighting toward 21°C (25%) and 23°C (20%). Updated guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日倫敦的最高溫度？
8月31日倫敦的最高溫度？
22°C 47%
21°C 25%
23°C 20%
20°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C
25%
22°C
47%
23°C
20%
24°C
6%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 47%
21°C 25%
23°C 20%
20°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
16°C or below
$278 交易量
<1%
17°C
$178 交易量
<1%
18°C
$80 交易量
1%
19°C
$18 交易量
2%
20°C
$172 交易量
8%
21°C
$286 交易量
25%
22°C
$1,254 交易量
47%
23°C
$641 交易量
20%
24°C
$99 交易量
6%
25°C
$65 交易量
2%
26°C or higher
$75 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble models project a daytime maximum of 22°C in London on August 31, aligning with the market's leading 46.5% implied probability for that outcome. Late-summer conditions feature moderate westerly flow, scattered showers, and cloud cover that limit strong diurnal heating, keeping values near the long-term climatological average of 20–22°C rather than supporting warmer or cooler extremes. Model runs show tight clustering around 21–23°C, with minor spread arising from variable shower timing and boundary-layer moisture, which explains the secondary weighting toward 21°C (25%) and 23°C (20%). Updated guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$3,146結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble models project a daytime maximum of 22°C in London on August 31, aligning with the market's leading 46.5% implied probability for that outcome. Late-summer conditions feature moderate westerly flow, scattered showers, and cloud cover that limit strong diurnal heating, keeping values near the long-term climatological average of 20–22°C rather than supporting warmer or cooler extremes. Model runs show tight clustering around 21–23°C, with minor spread arising from variable shower timing and boundary-layer moisture, which explains the secondary weighting toward 21°C (25%) and 23°C (20%). Updated guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,146結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent Met Office forecasts and ensemble models project a daytime maximum of 22°C in London on August 31, aligning with the market's leading 46.5% implied probability for that outcome. Late-summer conditions feature moderate westerly flow, scattered showers, and cloud cover that limit strong diurnal heating, keeping values near the long-term climatological average of 20–22°C rather than supporting warmer or cooler extremes. Model runs show tight clustering around 21–23°C, with minor spread arising from variable shower timing and boundary-layer moisture, which explains the secondary weighting toward 21°C (25%) and 23°C (20%). Updated guidance in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions