Recent Met Office and numerical weather prediction consensus point to an overnight minimum near 16°C in London on August 30, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air and widespread cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Hourly observations through early morning have held in the 14–17°C range, with light drizzle further moderating temperatures and preventing the clearer skies needed for sharper drops. This setup aligns with late-August climatology under neutral-to-positive NAO influence, keeping values above the long-term average low near 13°C. Updated model runs show little change expected before dawn, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 16–17°C outcomes while underscoring the narrow window for any late adjustment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日倫敦的最低溫度？
8月30日倫敦的最低溫度？
17°C 67%
16°C 21%
15°C 1.3%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
28%
17°C
67%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或更高
<1%
17°C 67%
16°C 21%
15°C 1.3%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
11°C或以下
$37 交易量
<1%
12°C
$227 交易量
<1%
13°C
$34 交易量
<1%
14°C
$845 交易量
<1%
15°C
$805 交易量
1%
16°C
$2,855 交易量
28%
17°C
$2,081 交易量
67%
18°C
$2,274 交易量
1%
19°C
$44 交易量
<1%
20°C
$44 交易量
<1%
21°C或更高
$61 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and numerical weather prediction consensus point to an overnight minimum near 16°C in London on August 30, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air and widespread cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Hourly observations through early morning have held in the 14–17°C range, with light drizzle further moderating temperatures and preventing the clearer skies needed for sharper drops. This setup aligns with late-August climatology under neutral-to-positive NAO influence, keeping values above the long-term average low near 13°C. Updated model runs show little change expected before dawn, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 16–17°C outcomes while underscoring the narrow window for any late adjustment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$9,309結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and numerical weather prediction consensus point to an overnight minimum near 16°C in London on August 30, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air and widespread cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Hourly observations through early morning have held in the 14–17°C range, with light drizzle further moderating temperatures and preventing the clearer skies needed for sharper drops. This setup aligns with late-August climatology under neutral-to-positive NAO influence, keeping values above the long-term average low near 13°C. Updated model runs show little change expected before dawn, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 16–17°C outcomes while underscoring the narrow window for any late adjustment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,309結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent Met Office and numerical weather prediction consensus point to an overnight minimum near 16°C in London on August 30, driven by persistent southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air and widespread cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Hourly observations through early morning have held in the 14–17°C range, with light drizzle further moderating temperatures and preventing the clearer skies needed for sharper drops. This setup aligns with late-August climatology under neutral-to-positive NAO influence, keeping values above the long-term average low near 13°C. Updated model runs show little change expected before dawn, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 16–17°C outcomes while underscoring the narrow window for any late adjustment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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