Recent official forecasts from agencies and models including the Met Office, GFS, and ECMWF place Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature on August 30 near 31°C, with most runs showing 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 10–15 km/h, and low precipitation risk. This consensus, consistent with late-August climatology averaging 30–32°C, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C at 73% implied probability. Minor model spread around 32°C accounts for the secondary 24.5% share, while cooler or hotter extremes remain negligible given stable high pressure and no incoming heat advection or marine layer shifts expected before resolution. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point traders will monitor for any late adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
8月30日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
31°C 73%
32°C 25%
30°C 5%
33°C 1.6%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
5%
31°C
73%
32°C
25%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 73%
32°C 25%
30°C 5%
33°C 1.6%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
27°C or below
$1,221 交易量
<1%
28°C
$439 交易量
<1%
29°C
$559 交易量
<1%
30°C
$729 交易量
5%
31°C
$2,382 交易量
73%
32°C
$1,424 交易量
25%
33°C
$569 交易量
2%
34°C
$540 交易量
<1%
35°C
$196 交易量
<1%
36°C
$263 交易量
<1%
37°C or higher
$253 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models including the Met Office, GFS, and ECMWF place Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature on August 30 near 31°C, with most runs showing 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 10–15 km/h, and low precipitation risk. This consensus, consistent with late-August climatology averaging 30–32°C, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C at 73% implied probability. Minor model spread around 32°C accounts for the secondary 24.5% share, while cooler or hotter extremes remain negligible given stable high pressure and no incoming heat advection or marine layer shifts expected before resolution. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point traders will monitor for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$8,577結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies and models including the Met Office, GFS, and ECMWF place Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature on August 30 near 31°C, with most runs showing 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 10–15 km/h, and low precipitation risk. This consensus, consistent with late-August climatology averaging 30–32°C, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C at 73% implied probability. Minor model spread around 32°C accounts for the secondary 24.5% share, while cooler or hotter extremes remain negligible given stable high pressure and no incoming heat advection or marine layer shifts expected before resolution. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point traders will monitor for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$8,577結束日期
2026-08-30市場開放時間
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from agencies and models including the Met Office, GFS, and ECMWF place Tel Aviv’s maximum temperature on August 30 near 31°C, with most runs showing 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds around 10–15 km/h, and low precipitation risk. This consensus, consistent with late-August climatology averaging 30–32°C, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C at 73% implied probability. Minor model spread around 32°C accounts for the secondary 24.5% share, while cooler or hotter extremes remain negligible given stable high pressure and no incoming heat advection or marine layer shifts expected before resolution. Updated model runs tomorrow morning represent the next key data point traders will monitor for any late adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions