**Recent forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 31, 2026, show daily maximum temperatures clustering tightly around 31–32°C, aligning closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring those two outcomes.** Multiple models and services, including WeatherBug, The Weather Outlook, Yr.no, and WindBorne, project highs near 86–89°F (30–32°C) under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies with light westerly winds and low precipitation chances after an unusual late-August rain event clears. This positioning reflects typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions for the coastal plain, where sea breezes moderate extremes and historical August daily maxima average 30–32°C. A passing rain and thunderstorm system through Sunday (August 30) has introduced slightly cooler, more humid air and reduced heat stress, keeping the upper end of the range in check while still allowing afternoon peaks to reach the low 30s once skies clear on Monday. Stronger warming or significant cooling appears unlikely given stable high pressure building and consistent model consensus. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and historical precedent heavily, with minimal probability assigned to outliers above 33°C or below 30°C. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service or refined local observations in the final 48 hours could refine the exact maximum and shift positioning if any model divergence emerges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月31日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
8月31日特拉維夫的最高溫度？
32°C 67%
31°C 32%
33°C 2%
30°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
32%
32°C
67%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 67%
31°C 32%
33°C 2%
30°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
29°C or below
$135 交易量
<1%
30°C
$284 交易量
1%
31°C
$346 交易量
32%
32°C
$1,972 交易量
67%
33°C
$309 交易量
2%
34°C
$150 交易量
<1%
35°C
$165 交易量
<1%
36°C
$448 交易量
<1%
37°C
$199 交易量
<1%
38°C
$281 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$271 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 31, 2026, show daily maximum temperatures clustering tightly around 31–32°C, aligning closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring those two outcomes.** Multiple models and services, including WeatherBug, The Weather Outlook, Yr.no, and WindBorne, project highs near 86–89°F (30–32°C) under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies with light westerly winds and low precipitation chances after an unusual late-August rain event clears.
This positioning reflects typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions for the coastal plain, where sea breezes moderate extremes and historical August daily maxima average 30–32°C. A passing rain and thunderstorm system through Sunday (August 30) has introduced slightly cooler, more humid air and reduced heat stress, keeping the upper end of the range in check while still allowing afternoon peaks to reach the low 30s once skies clear on Monday. Stronger warming or significant cooling appears unlikely given stable high pressure building and consistent model consensus.
Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and historical precedent heavily, with minimal probability assigned to outliers above 33°C or below 30°C. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service or refined local observations in the final 48 hours could refine the exact maximum and shift positioning if any model divergence emerges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$4,560結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 31, 2026, show daily maximum temperatures clustering tightly around 31–32°C, aligning closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring those two outcomes.** Multiple models and services, including WeatherBug, The Weather Outlook, Yr.no, and WindBorne, project highs near 86–89°F (30–32°C) under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies with light westerly winds and low precipitation chances after an unusual late-August rain event clears.
This positioning reflects typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions for the coastal plain, where sea breezes moderate extremes and historical August daily maxima average 30–32°C. A passing rain and thunderstorm system through Sunday (August 30) has introduced slightly cooler, more humid air and reduced heat stress, keeping the upper end of the range in check while still allowing afternoon peaks to reach the low 30s once skies clear on Monday. Stronger warming or significant cooling appears unlikely given stable high pressure building and consistent model consensus.
Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and historical precedent heavily, with minimal probability assigned to outliers above 33°C or below 30°C. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service or refined local observations in the final 48 hours could refine the exact maximum and shift positioning if any model divergence emerges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,560結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Recent forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 31, 2026, show daily maximum temperatures clustering tightly around 31–32°C, aligning closely with the market-implied probabilities favoring those two outcomes.** Multiple models and services, including WeatherBug, The Weather Outlook, Yr.no, and WindBorne, project highs near 86–89°F (30–32°C) under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies with light westerly winds and low precipitation chances after an unusual late-August rain event clears. This positioning reflects typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions for the coastal plain, where sea breezes moderate extremes and historical August daily maxima average 30–32°C. A passing rain and thunderstorm system through Sunday (August 30) has introduced slightly cooler, more humid air and reduced heat stress, keeping the upper end of the range in check while still allowing afternoon peaks to reach the low 30s once skies clear on Monday. Stronger warming or significant cooling appears unlikely given stable high pressure building and consistent model consensus. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and historical precedent heavily, with minimal probability assigned to outliers above 33°C or below 30°C. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service or refined local observations in the final 48 hours could refine the exact maximum and shift positioning if any model divergence emerges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions