Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as GFS and ECMWF show Tel Aviv under mostly sunny skies with moderate westerly to southwesterly winds on August 29, supporting peak temperatures of 31–33 °C. This places the market’s leading 33 °C outcome in line with the consensus maximum, as afternoon heating is tempered by sea-breeze effects and humidity near 60 %. No significant heat anomaly or model spread is evident this close to the event, reinforcing trader preference for the narrow 32–34 °C range while limiting odds on extremes. The expected transition to unsettled conditions Sunday further anchors the current outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
33°C 71%
34°C 17%
32°C 12%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
71%
34°C
17%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 71%
34°C 17%
32°C 12%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
71%
34°C
17%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as GFS and ECMWF show Tel Aviv under mostly sunny skies with moderate westerly to southwesterly winds on August 29, supporting peak temperatures of 31–33 °C. This places the market’s leading 33 °C outcome in line with the consensus maximum, as afternoon heating is tempered by sea-breeze effects and humidity near 60 %. No significant heat anomaly or model spread is evident this close to the event, reinforcing trader preference for the narrow 32–34 °C range while limiting odds on extremes. The expected transition to unsettled conditions Sunday further anchors the current outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions