Recent forecasts from global models place Tel Aviv's August 28 maximum near 31–33 °C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions that limit extreme heating. Sea-breeze moderation and modest mid-level moisture introduce day-to-day variability that keeps the distribution of possible highs centered around these values, with equal market-implied odds reflecting both the narrow forecast spread and the sensitivity of peak readings to small shifts in cloud cover or wind timing. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine whether the actual maximum settles near the lower or upper end of this range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
33°C 55%
38°C 45%
30°C 42%
34°C 24%
29°C or below
10%
30°C
42%
31°C
24%
32°C
24%
33°C
55%
34°C
24%
35°C
24%
36°C
22%
37°C
7%
38°C
45%
39°C or higher
9%
33°C 55%
38°C 45%
30°C 42%
34°C 24%
29°C or below
10%
30°C
42%
31°C
24%
32°C
24%
33°C
55%
34°C
24%
35°C
24%
36°C
22%
37°C
7%
38°C
45%
39°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models place Tel Aviv's August 28 maximum near 31–33 °C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions that limit extreme heating. Sea-breeze moderation and modest mid-level moisture introduce day-to-day variability that keeps the distribution of possible highs centered around these values, with equal market-implied odds reflecting both the narrow forecast spread and the sensitivity of peak readings to small shifts in cloud cover or wind timing. Updated runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and ensemble guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine whether the actual maximum settles near the lower or upper end of this range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions