Forecast consensus from global and regional models positions 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv's August 26 maximum, with 34°C a close second, reflecting typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong solar insolation, and limited vertical mixing. Sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean and low humidity keep values from spiking higher, while ensemble spreads allow modest upside risk from localized heating or slight model warming trends. Israel Meteorological Service guidance and extended-range outlooks through the weekend show stable 31–33°C highs with minimal precipitation or frontal influence, aligning trader-implied probabilities with climatological baselines and short-term predictability before the next model update cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
33°C 59%
34°C 32%
32°C 7%
35°C 4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
59%
34°C
32%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 59%
34°C 32%
32°C 7%
35°C 4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
59%
34°C
32%
35°C
4%
36°C
2%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from global and regional models positions 33°C as the leading outcome for Tel Aviv's August 26 maximum, with 34°C a close second, reflecting typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong solar insolation, and limited vertical mixing. Sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean and low humidity keep values from spiking higher, while ensemble spreads allow modest upside risk from localized heating or slight model warming trends. Israel Meteorological Service guidance and extended-range outlooks through the weekend show stable 31–33°C highs with minimal precipitation or frontal influence, aligning trader-implied probabilities with climatological baselines and short-term predictability before the next model update cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions