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icon for 9月30日前美國有麻疹病例嗎？

9月30日前美國有麻疹病例嗎？

icon for 9月30日前美國有麻疹病例嗎？

9月30日前美國有麻疹病例嗎？

8月 31

9月 30

12月 31

8月 31

9月 30

12月 31

最新
2026-09-30
Polymarket

$1,278 交易量

Polymarket

2900+

$965 交易量

98%

3000+

$313 交易量

94%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.**Ongoing measles outbreaks continue to accelerate transmission across the United States, with CDC data showing 2,777 confirmed cases as of August 20, 2026—already surpassing the full-year 2025 total of 2,289.** Weekly additions reached 211 cases in the most recent update, concentrated in Pennsylvania (89 new) and Ohio (73 new), amid 36 active outbreaks where 94% of cases link to sustained chains. Over 93-94% of infections occur in unvaccinated or unknown-status individuals, with 19% under age 5 and 66% in children/teens, reflecting kindergarten MMR coverage that has fallen to ~92.4%. No deaths have occurred in 2026 (versus three in 2025), and hospitalization stands at 7%. As the school year begins, increased mixing among susceptible populations could sustain or heighten weekly incidence through September. Traders monitor CDC's weekly surveillance releases for case-count trajectories and any model-informed projections on outbreak containment.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
交易量
$1,278
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.**Ongoing measles outbreaks continue to accelerate transmission across the United States, with CDC data showing 2,777 confirmed cases as of August 20, 2026—already surpassing the full-year 2025 total of 2,289.** Weekly additions reached 211 cases in the most recent update, concentrated in Pennsylvania (89 new) and Ohio (73 new), amid 36 active outbreaks where 94% of cases link to sustained chains. Over 93-94% of infections occur in unvaccinated or unknown-status individuals, with 19% under age 5 and 66% in children/teens, reflecting kindergarten MMR coverage that has fallen to ~92.4%. No deaths have occurred in 2026 (versus three in 2025), and hospitalization stands at 7%. As the school year begins, increased mixing among susceptible populations could sustain or heighten weekly incidence through September. Traders monitor CDC's weekly surveillance releases for case-count trajectories and any model-informed projections on outbreak containment.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
交易量
$1,278
結束日期
2026-09-30
市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"9月30日前美國有麻疹病例嗎？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2900+" at 98%, followed by "3000+" at 94%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"9月30日前美國有麻疹病例嗎？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "9月30日前美國有麻疹病例嗎？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "9月30日前美國有麻疹病例嗎？" is "2900+" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "3000+" at 94%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "9月30日前美國有麻疹病例嗎？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.