**Forecast models from the ECMWF and KNMI indicate a highest temperature near 26–27°C in Amsterdam on August 27, 2026, aligning closely with market-implied odds favoring 27°C (39%) and 26°C (28.5%).** Late-August climatology shows a seasonal decline in highs toward 21–23°C on average, but current synoptic patterns—mild easterly to southerly flow without strong anticyclonic blocking—support modestly above-normal readings. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with probabilities concentrated in the mid-20s and only modest upside risk to 28–29°C under clearer skies or stronger insolation. Official resolution relies on KNMI measurements, typically at Schiphol, where recent runs have stabilized around these values. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of short-range models against the narrow historical tail for warmer outcomes this late in the month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
8月27日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
27°C 39%
26°C 29%
28°C 18%
29°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
29%
27°C
39%
28°C
18%
29°C
7%
30°C
5%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 39%
26°C 29%
28°C 18%
29°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
22°C or below
$10 交易量
4%
23°C
$0 交易量
4%
24°C
$0 交易量
4%
25°C
$77 交易量
6%
26°C
$195 交易量
29%
27°C
$73 交易量
39%
28°C
$13 交易量
18%
29°C
$0 交易量
7%
30°C
$0 交易量
5%
31°C
$0 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$42 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the ECMWF and KNMI indicate a highest temperature near 26–27°C in Amsterdam on August 27, 2026, aligning closely with market-implied odds favoring 27°C (39%) and 26°C (28.5%).** Late-August climatology shows a seasonal decline in highs toward 21–23°C on average, but current synoptic patterns—mild easterly to southerly flow without strong anticyclonic blocking—support modestly above-normal readings. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with probabilities concentrated in the mid-20s and only modest upside risk to 28–29°C under clearer skies or stronger insolation. Official resolution relies on KNMI measurements, typically at Schiphol, where recent runs have stabilized around these values. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of short-range models against the narrow historical tail for warmer outcomes this late in the month.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$410結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from the ECMWF and KNMI indicate a highest temperature near 26–27°C in Amsterdam on August 27, 2026, aligning closely with market-implied odds favoring 27°C (39%) and 26°C (28.5%).** Late-August climatology shows a seasonal decline in highs toward 21–23°C on average, but current synoptic patterns—mild easterly to southerly flow without strong anticyclonic blocking—support modestly above-normal readings. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with probabilities concentrated in the mid-20s and only modest upside risk to 28–29°C under clearer skies or stronger insolation. Official resolution relies on KNMI measurements, typically at Schiphol, where recent runs have stabilized around these values. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of short-range models against the narrow historical tail for warmer outcomes this late in the month.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$410結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast models from the ECMWF and KNMI indicate a highest temperature near 26–27°C in Amsterdam on August 27, 2026, aligning closely with market-implied odds favoring 27°C (39%) and 26°C (28.5%).** Late-August climatology shows a seasonal decline in highs toward 21–23°C on average, but current synoptic patterns—mild easterly to southerly flow without strong anticyclonic blocking—support modestly above-normal readings. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with probabilities concentrated in the mid-20s and only modest upside risk to 28–29°C under clearer skies or stronger insolation. Official resolution relies on KNMI measurements, typically at Schiphol, where recent runs have stabilized around these values. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of short-range models against the narrow historical tail for warmer outcomes this late in the month.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions