**Forecast models and official guidance from sources like KNMI and Met Office indicate an overnight low of roughly 16–18°C (about 61–64°F) for Amsterdam on August 27, 2026, positioning 16°C as the leading market outcome at 46.5% implied probability.** A warm southerly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system is expected to keep minimum temperatures elevated relative to the long-term August average low of ~13°C, with daytime highs forecast to reach 26–28°C before afternoon/evening thunderstorms develop. Cloud cover, light winds, and residual warmth from the prior day limit radiative cooling overnight, while any earlier showers could slightly moderate the low. Recent model consensus and short-range updates have held steady in this range without major revisions, supporting trader focus on the 15–17°C band (combined probability exceeding 90%) as the most probable resolution window. Historical analogs for late-August mild nights under similar synoptic patterns reinforce this clustering, though small forecast adjustments from new model runs could still shift probabilities modestly before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度？
8月27日阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度？
18°C 49%
16°C 48%
15°C 41%
19°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
13°C or below
15%
14°C
20%
15°C
41%
16°C
48%
17°C
32%
18°C
49%
19°C
40%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
14%
18°C 49%
16°C 48%
15°C 41%
19°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
13°C or below
$0 交易量
15%
14°C
$0 交易量
20%
15°C
$0 交易量
41%
16°C
$0 交易量
48%
17°C
$0 交易量
32%
18°C
$0 交易量
49%
19°C
$0 交易量
40%
20°C
$0 交易量
8%
21°C
$0 交易量
8%
22°C
$0 交易量
2%
23°C or higher
$0 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from sources like KNMI and Met Office indicate an overnight low of roughly 16–18°C (about 61–64°F) for Amsterdam on August 27, 2026, positioning 16°C as the leading market outcome at 46.5% implied probability.**
A warm southerly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system is expected to keep minimum temperatures elevated relative to the long-term August average low of ~13°C, with daytime highs forecast to reach 26–28°C before afternoon/evening thunderstorms develop. Cloud cover, light winds, and residual warmth from the prior day limit radiative cooling overnight, while any earlier showers could slightly moderate the low.
Recent model consensus and short-range updates have held steady in this range without major revisions, supporting trader focus on the 15–17°C band (combined probability exceeding 90%) as the most probable resolution window. Historical analogs for late-August mild nights under similar synoptic patterns reinforce this clustering, though small forecast adjustments from new model runs could still shift probabilities modestly before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from sources like KNMI and Met Office indicate an overnight low of roughly 16–18°C (about 61–64°F) for Amsterdam on August 27, 2026, positioning 16°C as the leading market outcome at 46.5% implied probability.**
A warm southerly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system is expected to keep minimum temperatures elevated relative to the long-term August average low of ~13°C, with daytime highs forecast to reach 26–28°C before afternoon/evening thunderstorms develop. Cloud cover, light winds, and residual warmth from the prior day limit radiative cooling overnight, while any earlier showers could slightly moderate the low.
Recent model consensus and short-range updates have held steady in this range without major revisions, supporting trader focus on the 15–17°C band (combined probability exceeding 90%) as the most probable resolution window. Historical analogs for late-August mild nights under similar synoptic patterns reinforce this clustering, though small forecast adjustments from new model runs could still shift probabilities modestly before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-08-27市場開放時間
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET**Forecast models and official guidance from sources like KNMI and Met Office indicate an overnight low of roughly 16–18°C (about 61–64°F) for Amsterdam on August 27, 2026, positioning 16°C as the leading market outcome at 46.5% implied probability.** A warm southerly flow ahead of an approaching frontal system is expected to keep minimum temperatures elevated relative to the long-term August average low of ~13°C, with daytime highs forecast to reach 26–28°C before afternoon/evening thunderstorms develop. Cloud cover, light winds, and residual warmth from the prior day limit radiative cooling overnight, while any earlier showers could slightly moderate the low. Recent model consensus and short-range updates have held steady in this range without major revisions, supporting trader focus on the 15–17°C band (combined probability exceeding 90%) as the most probable resolution window. Historical analogs for late-August mild nights under similar synoptic patterns reinforce this clustering, though small forecast adjustments from new model runs could still shift probabilities modestly before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions