Recent forecasts indicate a shift to southeasterly flow and increasing moisture ahead of an Atlantic frontal system, driving cloud cover, showers, and scattered thunderstorms over Amsterdam on August 26. This setup limits nighttime radiational cooling under the marine influence of the North Sea, supporting minimum temperatures near 16–17°C rather than the climatological late-August average of ~12.7°C. Model consensus on cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing creates the observed spread, with clearer or drier scenarios allowing dips toward 13°C and stronger warm advection or persistent low clouds favoring 19°C or higher. High dew points near 15–18°C further anchor overnight readings in this narrow band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度?
13°C 85%
20°C 82%
19°C 81%
12°C or below 59%
12°C or below
59%
13°C
85%
14°C
30%
15°C
23%
16°C
51%
17°C
28%
18°C
45%
19°C
81%
20°C
82%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
59%
13°C 85%
20°C 82%
19°C 81%
12°C or below 59%
12°C or below
59%
13°C
85%
14°C
30%
15°C
23%
16°C
51%
17°C
28%
18°C
45%
19°C
81%
20°C
82%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts indicate a shift to southeasterly flow and increasing moisture ahead of an Atlantic frontal system, driving cloud cover, showers, and scattered thunderstorms over Amsterdam on August 26. This setup limits nighttime radiational cooling under the marine influence of the North Sea, supporting minimum temperatures near 16–17°C rather than the climatological late-August average of ~12.7°C. Model consensus on cloud thickness, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing creates the observed spread, with clearer or drier scenarios allowing dips toward 13°C and stronger warm advection or persistent low clouds favoring 19°C or higher. High dew points near 15–18°C further anchor overnight readings in this narrow band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions