Forecasts from the National Weather Service and local outlets indicate a daily high near 105°F for Austin on August 23 under persistent high pressure and mostly sunny conditions, driving the 56.5% market weighting on the 104-105°F range and 27% on 106-107°F. Heat advisories remain in effect amid above-average late-summer warmth, with limited moisture or cloud cover expected to suppress cooling. Model consensus favors this outcome over cooler or extreme bins, though minor steering changes or afternoon convection could shift the peak by a degree or two. Updated NWS guidance and observational data will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日奧斯汀的最高溫度?
104-105°F 55%
106-107°F 26%
102-103°F 13%
108-109°F 5%
華氏95度或以下
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
13%
104-105°F
55%
106-107°F
26%
108-109°F
5%
110-111華氏度
2%
112-113°F
1%
華氏114度或更高
<1%
104-105°F 55%
106-107°F 26%
102-103°F 13%
108-109°F 5%
華氏95度或以下
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
13%
104-105°F
55%
106-107°F
26%
108-109°F
5%
110-111華氏度
2%
112-113°F
1%
華氏114度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from the National Weather Service and local outlets indicate a daily high near 105°F for Austin on August 23 under persistent high pressure and mostly sunny conditions, driving the 56.5% market weighting on the 104-105°F range and 27% on 106-107°F. Heat advisories remain in effect amid above-average late-summer warmth, with limited moisture or cloud cover expected to suppress cooling. Model consensus favors this outcome over cooler or extreme bins, though minor steering changes or afternoon convection could shift the peak by a degree or two. Updated NWS guidance and observational data will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions