**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a minimum temperature in the upper 70s for Austin on August 23, driven by a warm, moist southerly flow and high atmospheric heat content amid ongoing summer conditions.** Clear skies overnight will allow some radiative cooling, but the lack of a frontal passage or drier air mass limits the drop, with dew points remaining elevated near 70°F. Historical August lows average ~73°F, yet the current pattern—marked by daytime highs exceeding 103°F and minimal nocturnal recovery—favors values closer to 78–80°F. Trader odds, with 71°F or below and 90°F+ both prominent near 40%, reflect model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds, though official guidance shows low probability of extremes. Updated NWS briefings and 00Z model runs tomorrow will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於奧斯汀8月23日的最低溫度？
奧斯汀8月23日的最低溫度？
華氏71度或以下 78%
華氏90度或更高 72%
84-85°F 48%
76-77°F 31%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
華氏71度或以下
78%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
48%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
8%
華氏90度或更高
72%
華氏71度或以下 78%
華氏90度或更高 72%
84-85°F 48%
76-77°F 31%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
華氏71度或以下
$20 交易量
78%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
22%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
29%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
31%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
26%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
23%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
22%
84-85°F
$10 交易量
48%
86-87°F
$10 交易量
9%
88-89°F
$10 交易量
8%
華氏90度或更高
$25 交易量
72%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a minimum temperature in the upper 70s for Austin on August 23, driven by a warm, moist southerly flow and high atmospheric heat content amid ongoing summer conditions.**
Clear skies overnight will allow some radiative cooling, but the lack of a frontal passage or drier air mass limits the drop, with dew points remaining elevated near 70°F. Historical August lows average ~73°F, yet the current pattern—marked by daytime highs exceeding 103°F and minimal nocturnal recovery—favors values closer to 78–80°F. Trader odds, with 71°F or below and 90°F+ both prominent near 40%, reflect model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds, though official guidance shows low probability of extremes. Updated NWS briefings and 00Z model runs tomorrow will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$75結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a minimum temperature in the upper 70s for Austin on August 23, driven by a warm, moist southerly flow and high atmospheric heat content amid ongoing summer conditions.**
Clear skies overnight will allow some radiative cooling, but the lack of a frontal passage or drier air mass limits the drop, with dew points remaining elevated near 70°F. Historical August lows average ~73°F, yet the current pattern—marked by daytime highs exceeding 103°F and minimal nocturnal recovery—favors values closer to 78–80°F. Trader odds, with 71°F or below and 90°F+ both prominent near 40%, reflect model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds, though official guidance shows low probability of extremes. Updated NWS briefings and 00Z model runs tomorrow will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$75結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and major models points to a minimum temperature in the upper 70s for Austin on August 23, driven by a warm, moist southerly flow and high atmospheric heat content amid ongoing summer conditions.** Clear skies overnight will allow some radiative cooling, but the lack of a frontal passage or drier air mass limits the drop, with dew points remaining elevated near 70°F. Historical August lows average ~73°F, yet the current pattern—marked by daytime highs exceeding 103°F and minimal nocturnal recovery—favors values closer to 78–80°F. Trader odds, with 71°F or below and 90°F+ both prominent near 40%, reflect model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds, though official guidance shows low probability of extremes. Updated NWS briefings and 00Z model runs tomorrow will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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