Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and ensemble model consensus (including GFS) indicate a cool, cloudy day with northwest winds and light rain potential, positioning 16–17°C as the most likely daily maximum for Moscow on August 26. This aligns with trader-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes, as the incoming air mass and persistent cloud cover suppress heating below the 20.8°C seasonal average high. Minor variations in model timing for any clearing could shift the peak toward 18°C or hold it at 15°C, though current runs show tight clustering around the mid-teens. Final surface observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日莫斯科最高溫度？
8月26日莫斯科最高溫度？
17°C 45%
16°C 28%
18°C 16%
15°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
28%
17°C
45%
18°C
16%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 45%
16°C 28%
18°C 16%
15°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
11°C or below
$224 交易量
<1%
12°C
$324 交易量
<1%
13°C
$399 交易量
<1%
14°C
$664 交易量
2%
15°C
$458 交易量
7%
16°C
$123 交易量
28%
17°C
$632 交易量
45%
18°C
$130 交易量
16%
19°C
$71 交易量
4%
20°C
$349 交易量
1%
21°C or higher
$346 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and ensemble model consensus (including GFS) indicate a cool, cloudy day with northwest winds and light rain potential, positioning 16–17°C as the most likely daily maximum for Moscow on August 26. This aligns with trader-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes, as the incoming air mass and persistent cloud cover suppress heating below the 20.8°C seasonal average high. Minor variations in model timing for any clearing could shift the peak toward 18°C or hold it at 15°C, though current runs show tight clustering around the mid-teens. Final surface observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$3,720結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and ensemble model consensus (including GFS) indicate a cool, cloudy day with northwest winds and light rain potential, positioning 16–17°C as the most likely daily maximum for Moscow on August 26. This aligns with trader-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes, as the incoming air mass and persistent cloud cover suppress heating below the 20.8°C seasonal average high. Minor variations in model timing for any clearing could shift the peak toward 18°C or hold it at 15°C, though current runs show tight clustering around the mid-teens. Final surface observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,720結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and ensemble model consensus (including GFS) indicate a cool, cloudy day with northwest winds and light rain potential, positioning 16–17°C as the most likely daily maximum for Moscow on August 26. This aligns with trader-implied probabilities favoring those outcomes, as the incoming air mass and persistent cloud cover suppress heating below the 20.8°C seasonal average high. Minor variations in model timing for any clearing could shift the peak toward 18°C or hold it at 15°C, though current runs show tight clustering around the mid-teens. Final surface observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions