Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and global models indicate limited daytime heating in Moscow on August 27 under variable cloud cover and northerly winds, keeping the maximum temperature near 19°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest insolation offset by northwest flow and potential afternoon cloud increases, which cap surface warming and create tight clustering between 18°C and 19°C outcomes. Minor differences in predicted cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1°C, while historical late-August averages near 19°C provide context for the current tight market spread. Updated model runs and surface observations overnight will further constrain resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日莫斯科最高溫度?
19°C 36%
18°C 35%
17°C 15%
20°C 12%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
15%
18°C
35%
19°C
36%
20°C
12%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
2%
19°C 36%
18°C 35%
17°C 15%
20°C 12%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
15%
18°C
35%
19°C
36%
20°C
12%
21°C
3%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Russian meteorological services and global models indicate limited daytime heating in Moscow on August 27 under variable cloud cover and northerly winds, keeping the maximum temperature near 19°C. Ensemble guidance shows modest insolation offset by northwest flow and potential afternoon cloud increases, which cap surface warming and create tight clustering between 18°C and 19°C outcomes. Minor differences in predicted cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1°C, while historical late-August averages near 19°C provide context for the current tight market spread. Updated model runs and surface observations overnight will further constrain resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions