Recent numerical weather prediction models point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms suppressing daytime heating in Guangzhou on August 26, favoring a maximum near 30–32°C and explaining the market’s broad probability spread. Southeast winds and monsoon-driven moisture are expected to promote convective development, with rainfall timing and intensity as the main variables that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Model runs show some divergence on exact cloud breaks, while climatological August highs near 33°C provide context for why clearer intervals could briefly allow 33°C or higher. Updated forecasts from regional agencies over the next 48 hours remain the key data points for traders assessing resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日廣州最高溫度？
8月26日廣州最高溫度？
31°C 32%
32°C 20%
30°C 15%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
14%
30°C
15%
31°C
32%
32°C
20%
33°C
12%
34°C
8%
35°C或以上
4%
31°C 32%
32°C 20%
30°C 15%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
25°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
26°C
$0 交易量
<1%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
10%
29°C
$0 交易量
14%
30°C
$0 交易量
15%
31°C
$53 交易量
32%
32°C
$0 交易量
20%
33°C
$12 交易量
12%
34°C
$60 交易量
8%
35°C或以上
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms suppressing daytime heating in Guangzhou on August 26, favoring a maximum near 30–32°C and explaining the market’s broad probability spread. Southeast winds and monsoon-driven moisture are expected to promote convective development, with rainfall timing and intensity as the main variables that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Model runs show some divergence on exact cloud breaks, while climatological August highs near 33°C provide context for why clearer intervals could briefly allow 33°C or higher. Updated forecasts from regional agencies over the next 48 hours remain the key data points for traders assessing resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$125結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms suppressing daytime heating in Guangzhou on August 26, favoring a maximum near 30–32°C and explaining the market’s broad probability spread. Southeast winds and monsoon-driven moisture are expected to promote convective development, with rainfall timing and intensity as the main variables that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Model runs show some divergence on exact cloud breaks, while climatological August highs near 33°C provide context for why clearer intervals could briefly allow 33°C or higher. Updated forecasts from regional agencies over the next 48 hours remain the key data points for traders assessing resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$125結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms suppressing daytime heating in Guangzhou on August 26, favoring a maximum near 30–32°C and explaining the market’s broad probability spread. Southeast winds and monsoon-driven moisture are expected to promote convective development, with rainfall timing and intensity as the main variables that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Model runs show some divergence on exact cloud breaks, while climatological August highs near 33°C provide context for why clearer intervals could briefly allow 33°C or higher. Updated forecasts from regional agencies over the next 48 hours remain the key data points for traders assessing resolution criteria.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions