Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to heavy rain and overcast skies on August 26, limiting overnight radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures near the climatological average of 25–26°C. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a narrow range of possible lows, with cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds preventing sharper drops while residual moisture from regional systems sustains warmth. Trader odds cluster tightly around 26–28°C because these conditions introduce modest uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation, though probabilities for extremes below 24°C or above 29°C remain low given stable late-summer patterns. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts from evolving steering flows or rainfall totals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日廣州最低溫度?
23°C 49%
29°C 39%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
21°C或以下
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
39%
30°C
12%
31°C或以上
1%
23°C 49%
29°C 39%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
21°C或以下
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
39%
30°C
12%
31°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Guangzhou point to heavy rain and overcast skies on August 26, limiting overnight radiative cooling and keeping minimum temperatures near the climatological average of 25–26°C. Model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles shows a narrow range of possible lows, with cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds preventing sharper drops while residual moisture from regional systems sustains warmth. Trader odds cluster tightly around 26–28°C because these conditions introduce modest uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation, though probabilities for extremes below 24°C or above 29°C remain low given stable late-summer patterns. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts from evolving steering flows or rainfall totals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions