Recent official forecasts and station data from São Paulo’s CGE and multiple global models indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on August 26, driven by extensive low- and mid-level cloud cover that limits solar heating while a weak westerly flow maintains mild advection. Current observations show temperatures climbing slowly from overnight lows around 15°C, with relative humidity remaining elevated above 70% and only isolated light drizzle possible—conditions that align closely with historical late-August averages but suppress stronger warming. The 93.5% market-implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects this tight forecast consensus and the narrow observed range so far. A sudden clearing of clouds or an unexpected shift in steering winds could allow brief additional heating toward 26–27°C, while heavier precipitation or a cooler air mass would more readily cap readings at or below 24°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日聖保羅的最高溫度？
8月26日聖保羅的最高溫度？
25°C 99.3%
26°C <1%
27°C or higher <1%
17°C or below <1%
$36,825 交易量
$36,825 交易量
2026-08-26
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
99%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.3%
26°C <1%
27°C or higher <1%
17°C or below <1%
$36,825 交易量
$36,825 交易量
2026-08-26
17°C or below
$656 交易量
<1%
18°C
$651 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,608 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,804 交易量
<1%
21°C
$6,973 交易量
<1%
22°C
$5,389 交易量
<1%
23°C
$7,596 交易量
<1%
24°C
$4,038 交易量
<1%
25°C
$5,010 交易量
99%
26°C
$1,398 交易量
1%
27°C or higher
$1,702 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and station data from São Paulo’s CGE and multiple global models indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on August 26, driven by extensive low- and mid-level cloud cover that limits solar heating while a weak westerly flow maintains mild advection. Current observations show temperatures climbing slowly from overnight lows around 15°C, with relative humidity remaining elevated above 70% and only isolated light drizzle possible—conditions that align closely with historical late-August averages but suppress stronger warming. The 93.5% market-implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects this tight forecast consensus and the narrow observed range so far. A sudden clearing of clouds or an unexpected shift in steering winds could allow brief additional heating toward 26–27°C, while heavier precipitation or a cooler air mass would more readily cap readings at or below 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 24, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$36,825結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and station data from São Paulo’s CGE and multiple global models indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on August 26, driven by extensive low- and mid-level cloud cover that limits solar heating while a weak westerly flow maintains mild advection. Current observations show temperatures climbing slowly from overnight lows around 15°C, with relative humidity remaining elevated above 70% and only isolated light drizzle possible—conditions that align closely with historical late-August averages but suppress stronger warming. The 93.5% market-implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects this tight forecast consensus and the narrow observed range so far. A sudden clearing of clouds or an unexpected shift in steering winds could allow brief additional heating toward 26–27°C, while heavier precipitation or a cooler air mass would more readily cap readings at or below 24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$36,825結束日期
2026-08-26市場開放時間
Aug 24, 2026, 8:55 PM ETRecent official forecasts and station data from São Paulo’s CGE and multiple global models indicate a daytime maximum near 25°C on August 26, driven by extensive low- and mid-level cloud cover that limits solar heating while a weak westerly flow maintains mild advection. Current observations show temperatures climbing slowly from overnight lows around 15°C, with relative humidity remaining elevated above 70% and only isolated light drizzle possible—conditions that align closely with historical late-August averages but suppress stronger warming. The 93.5% market-implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects this tight forecast consensus and the narrow observed range so far. A sudden clearing of clouds or an unexpected shift in steering winds could allow brief additional heating toward 26–27°C, while heavier precipitation or a cooler air mass would more readily cap readings at or below 24°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions