Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature in Cape Town on August 26 likely falling in the 22–25 °C range, with trader sentiment clustered around 24–26 °C reflecting model consensus on light southeasterly winds, partial cloud cover, and limited mixing under stable high pressure. The cold Benguela Current and typical winter radiative cooling keep daytime maxima modest, while any extended clear periods or reduced onshore flow could allow brief warming to 26 °C. Conversely, increased low-level moisture or slightly stronger winds would cap readings near 24 °C. Official updates from the South African Weather Service and next model runs will clarify these narrow thresholds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日開普敦最高溫度?
25°C 33%
24°C 25%
26°C 22%
23°C 8%
20°C或以下
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
8%
24°C
25%
25°C
33%
26°C
22%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
25°C 33%
24°C 25%
26°C 22%
23°C 8%
20°C或以下
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
8%
24°C
25%
25°C
33%
26°C
22%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature in Cape Town on August 26 likely falling in the 22–25 °C range, with trader sentiment clustered around 24–26 °C reflecting model consensus on light southeasterly winds, partial cloud cover, and limited mixing under stable high pressure. The cold Benguela Current and typical winter radiative cooling keep daytime maxima modest, while any extended clear periods or reduced onshore flow could allow brief warming to 26 °C. Conversely, increased low-level moisture or slightly stronger winds would cap readings near 24 °C. Official updates from the South African Weather Service and next model runs will clarify these narrow thresholds before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions