Official forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service Singapore project daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C through late August, aligning closely with recent observed highs of 33–34.9°C and positioning 33°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 56.5%. Equatorial conditions, including high humidity above 75% and localized afternoon thundery showers, typically cap peaks near these levels without major cooling or intensification drivers. Model consensus shows limited upside risk to 35°C or higher, reflected in the 19% probability for 34°C and lower odds for extremes, while 32°C at 22.5% accounts for potential shower moderation. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine these trader-assessed probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於新加坡8月25日的最高溫度?
33°C 58%
32°C 23%
34°C 19%
30°C 3%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
23%
33°C
58%
34°C
19%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 58%
32°C 23%
34°C 19%
30°C 3%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
23%
33°C
58%
34°C
19%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service Singapore project daily maximum temperatures of 33–34°C through late August, aligning closely with recent observed highs of 33–34.9°C and positioning 33°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 56.5%. Equatorial conditions, including high humidity above 75% and localized afternoon thundery showers, typically cap peaks near these levels without major cooling or intensification drivers. Model consensus shows limited upside risk to 35°C or higher, reflected in the 19% probability for 34°C and lower odds for extremes, while 32°C at 22.5% accounts for potential shower moderation. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine these trader-assessed probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions