National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a typical late-August marine layer regime moderating San Francisco temperatures, with onshore westerly flow and coastal fog limiting afternoon highs near 68–72°F on August 23. Persistent stratus and sea-breeze effects—common climatological features for the Bay Area in summer—have kept recent daily maxima in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities clustered around 70–73°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited warming potential absent a strong offshore flow shift, though any thinning of the marine layer could push readings toward the upper end of that range or slightly higher. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山8月23日的最高溫度？
舊金山8月23日的最高溫度？
72-73華氏度 32%
70-71°F 24%
74-75°F 19%
76-77°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
65°F或以下
2%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
24%
72-73華氏度
32%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
<1%
華氏84度或更高
<1%
72-73華氏度 32%
70-71°F 24%
74-75°F 19%
76-77°F 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
65°F或以下
$31 交易量
2%
66-67°F
$31 交易量
4%
68-69°F
$211 交易量
8%
70-71°F
$130 交易量
24%
72-73華氏度
$49 交易量
32%
74-75°F
$134 交易量
19%
76-77°F
$349 交易量
11%
78-79°F
$140 交易量
4%
80-81°F
$97 交易量
2%
82-83°F
$20 交易量
<1%
華氏84度或更高
$25 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a typical late-August marine layer regime moderating San Francisco temperatures, with onshore westerly flow and coastal fog limiting afternoon highs near 68–72°F on August 23. Persistent stratus and sea-breeze effects—common climatological features for the Bay Area in summer—have kept recent daily maxima in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities clustered around 70–73°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited warming potential absent a strong offshore flow shift, though any thinning of the marine layer could push readings toward the upper end of that range or slightly higher. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
交易量
$1,217結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a typical late-August marine layer regime moderating San Francisco temperatures, with onshore westerly flow and coastal fog limiting afternoon highs near 68–72°F on August 23. Persistent stratus and sea-breeze effects—common climatological features for the Bay Area in summer—have kept recent daily maxima in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities clustered around 70–73°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited warming potential absent a strong offshore flow shift, though any thinning of the marine layer could push readings toward the upper end of that range or slightly higher. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,217結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a typical late-August marine layer regime moderating San Francisco temperatures, with onshore westerly flow and coastal fog limiting afternoon highs near 68–72°F on August 23. Persistent stratus and sea-breeze effects—common climatological features for the Bay Area in summer—have kept recent daily maxima in the upper 60s to low 70s, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probabilities clustered around 70–73°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited warming potential absent a strong offshore flow shift, though any thinning of the marine layer could push readings toward the upper end of that range or slightly higher. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions