San Francisco's coastal location along the cold California Current and persistent marine layer typically moderate summer lows into the upper 50s°F, with official National Weather Service observations confirming a minimum of 58–59°F on August 23. This outcome aligns with the city's climatological baseline for late August, where onshore flow and fog suppress daytime heat while preventing significant overnight cooling. Trader consensus at 100% reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision. Only an undocumented station anomaly or post-hoc data correction could alter the result, both highly improbable given standard reporting protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於舊金山8月23日的最低溫度?
58-59°F 100.0%
49°F或以下 <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$2,595 交易量
$2,595 交易量
49°F或以下
否
50-51°F
否
52-53°F
否
54-55°F
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
是
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68°F或以上
否
58-59°F 100.0%
49°F或以下 <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$2,595 交易量
$2,595 交易量
49°F或以下
否
50-51°F
否
52-53°F
否
54-55°F
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
是
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68°F或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
San Francisco's coastal location along the cold California Current and persistent marine layer typically moderate summer lows into the upper 50s°F, with official National Weather Service observations confirming a minimum of 58–59°F on August 23. This outcome aligns with the city's climatological baseline for late August, where onshore flow and fog suppress daytime heat while preventing significant overnight cooling. Trader consensus at 100% reflects verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving little room for revision. Only an undocumented station anomaly or post-hoc data correction could alter the result, both highly improbable given standard reporting protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions