Recent cold air advection from a polar outbreak earlier in the week, including a confirmed 0°C minimum on August 22, has positioned a stable high-pressure system over central Argentina, favoring clear skies and light winds that promote strong nocturnal radiative cooling in Buenos Aires. Official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and short-range models project overnight lows clustered between roughly 3–7°C for August 25 under partly cloudy conditions, with the Río de la Plata’s maritime influence moderating extremes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 4–6°C outcomes because small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact high-pressure positioning can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while the low probability assigned to 12°C or higher reflects the persistence of this cold anomaly well below August climatology of 7–10°C. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度?
12°C或以上 59%
6°C 30%
5°C 29%
4°C 28%
2°C或以下
1%
3°C
21%
4°C
28%
5°C
29%
6°C
30%
7°C
25%
8°C
24%
9°C
24%
10°C
1%
11°C
12%
12°C或以上
59%
12°C或以上 59%
6°C 30%
5°C 29%
4°C 28%
2°C或以下
1%
3°C
21%
4°C
28%
5°C
29%
6°C
30%
7°C
25%
8°C
24%
9°C
24%
10°C
1%
11°C
12%
12°C或以上
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent cold air advection from a polar outbreak earlier in the week, including a confirmed 0°C minimum on August 22, has positioned a stable high-pressure system over central Argentina, favoring clear skies and light winds that promote strong nocturnal radiative cooling in Buenos Aires. Official guidance from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and short-range models project overnight lows clustered between roughly 3–7°C for August 25 under partly cloudy conditions, with the Río de la Plata’s maritime influence moderating extremes. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 4–6°C outcomes because small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact high-pressure positioning can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, while the low probability assigned to 12°C or higher reflects the persistence of this cold anomaly well below August climatology of 7–10°C. Updated model runs and morning observations will refine these variables ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions