Recent forecast consensus from major models including ECMWF and UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 24, 2026, under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This aligns closely with trader-implied probabilities favoring those bins, as late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature mild highs averaging 15–17°C historically yet allow short-term cooling from transient high-pressure systems and reduced insolation. Recent model runs show stable guidance with no major shifts in the past 48 hours, though minor uncertainty remains from exact timing of peak temperatures, urban heat effects, and wind patterns. El Niño conditions may support slightly above-normal seasonal temperatures, but single-day variability from regional pressure setups currently dominates market sentiment ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
8月24日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
13°C 45%
12°C 27%
14°C 15%
11°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
9%
12°C
27%
13°C
45%
14°C
15%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
2%
13°C 45%
12°C 27%
14°C 15%
11°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
7°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
8°C
$15 交易量
1%
9°C
$0 交易量
1%
10°C
$0 交易量
5%
11°C
$75 交易量
9%
12°C
$199 交易量
27%
13°C
$22 交易量
45%
14°C
$12 交易量
15%
15°C
$11 交易量
3%
16°C
$10 交易量
2%
17°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from major models including ECMWF and UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 24, 2026, under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This aligns closely with trader-implied probabilities favoring those bins, as late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature mild highs averaging 15–17°C historically yet allow short-term cooling from transient high-pressure systems and reduced insolation. Recent model runs show stable guidance with no major shifts in the past 48 hours, though minor uncertainty remains from exact timing of peak temperatures, urban heat effects, and wind patterns. El Niño conditions may support slightly above-normal seasonal temperatures, but single-day variability from regional pressure setups currently dominates market sentiment ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$350結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from major models including ECMWF and UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 24, 2026, under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This aligns closely with trader-implied probabilities favoring those bins, as late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature mild highs averaging 15–17°C historically yet allow short-term cooling from transient high-pressure systems and reduced insolation. Recent model runs show stable guidance with no major shifts in the past 48 hours, though minor uncertainty remains from exact timing of peak temperatures, urban heat effects, and wind patterns. El Niño conditions may support slightly above-normal seasonal temperatures, but single-day variability from regional pressure setups currently dominates market sentiment ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$350結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETRecent forecast consensus from major models including ECMWF and UK Met Office points to a daytime maximum of 12–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 24, 2026, under southerly flow and partly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. This aligns closely with trader-implied probabilities favoring those bins, as late-winter conditions in the Southern Hemisphere typically feature mild highs averaging 15–17°C historically yet allow short-term cooling from transient high-pressure systems and reduced insolation. Recent model runs show stable guidance with no major shifts in the past 48 hours, though minor uncertainty remains from exact timing of peak temperatures, urban heat effects, and wind patterns. El Niño conditions may support slightly above-normal seasonal temperatures, but single-day variability from regional pressure setups currently dominates market sentiment ahead of tomorrow’s official observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions