Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 5–7°C overnight into August 23, consistent with recent August observations in Buenos Aires and typical winter radiative cooling under partly clear skies with light southerly winds. The near-even split between the -2°C-or-below and 8°C-or-higher brackets reflects uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer processes, including the strength of any high-pressure ridge promoting clear-sky cooling versus potential increases in low-level moisture or wind that could limit the drop. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and ensemble spreads will be key updates ahead of market resolution, as small shifts in dew-point depression or cloud cover can alter the overnight minimum by several degrees.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度?
8°C or higher 92%
7°C 49%
-2°C or below 46%
0°C 27%
-2°C or below
46%
-1°C
26%
0°C
27%
1°C
27%
2°C
27%
3°C
26%
4°C
26%
5°C
26%
6°C
26%
7°C
49%
8°C or higher
92%
8°C or higher 92%
7°C 49%
-2°C or below 46%
0°C 27%
-2°C or below
46%
-1°C
26%
0°C
27%
1°C
27%
2°C
27%
3°C
26%
4°C
26%
5°C
26%
6°C
26%
7°C
49%
8°C or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 5–7°C overnight into August 23, consistent with recent August observations in Buenos Aires and typical winter radiative cooling under partly clear skies with light southerly winds. The near-even split between the -2°C-or-below and 8°C-or-higher brackets reflects uncertainty in nocturnal boundary-layer processes, including the strength of any high-pressure ridge promoting clear-sky cooling versus potential increases in low-level moisture or wind that could limit the drop. Official guidance from regional meteorological services and ensemble spreads will be key updates ahead of market resolution, as small shifts in dew-point depression or cloud cover can alter the overnight minimum by several degrees.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions