**Current forecast consensus from major models points to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow under a strong high-pressure system and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating.** Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and local observations shows afternoon peaks near 12°C, with light southeast winds and dew points in the low single digits maintaining cool conditions typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates uncertainty around whether the high reaches the upper or lower end of the 10–14°C cluster, where market-implied odds remain evenly distributed. Historical climatology for late August places the average daily maximum near 16°C, so this cooler pattern reflects the influence of recent high-pressure dominance and stable air mass rather than any rapid shift. Updated model runs and local observations through the morning will refine the precise peak ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
8月23日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
13°C 45%
12°C 27%
14°C 23%
11°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
6%
11°C
9%
12°C
27%
13°C
45%
14°C
23%
15°C
5%
16°C
4%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
2%
13°C 45%
12°C 27%
14°C 23%
11°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
8°C or below
$4 交易量
1%
9°C
$134 交易量
1%
10°C
$55 交易量
6%
11°C
$2 交易量
9%
12°C
$5 交易量
27%
13°C
$30 交易量
45%
14°C
$5 交易量
23%
15°C
$0 交易量
5%
16°C
$55 交易量
4%
17°C
$5 交易量
2%
18°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from major models points to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow under a strong high-pressure system and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating.** Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and local observations shows afternoon peaks near 12°C, with light southeast winds and dew points in the low single digits maintaining cool conditions typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates uncertainty around whether the high reaches the upper or lower end of the 10–14°C cluster, where market-implied odds remain evenly distributed. Historical climatology for late August places the average daily maximum near 16°C, so this cooler pattern reflects the influence of recent high-pressure dominance and stable air mass rather than any rapid shift. Updated model runs and local observations through the morning will refine the precise peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
交易量
$301結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from major models points to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow under a strong high-pressure system and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating.** Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and local observations shows afternoon peaks near 12°C, with light southeast winds and dew points in the low single digits maintaining cool conditions typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates uncertainty around whether the high reaches the upper or lower end of the 10–14°C cluster, where market-implied odds remain evenly distributed. Historical climatology for late August places the average daily maximum near 16°C, so this cooler pattern reflects the influence of recent high-pressure dominance and stable air mass rather than any rapid shift. Updated model runs and local observations through the morning will refine the precise peak ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$301結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET**Current forecast consensus from major models points to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 23, driven by persistent southerly flow under a strong high-pressure system and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating.** Official guidance from sources such as the Met Office and local observations shows afternoon peaks near 12°C, with light southeast winds and dew points in the low single digits maintaining cool conditions typical of late Southern Hemisphere winter. Minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates uncertainty around whether the high reaches the upper or lower end of the 10–14°C cluster, where market-implied odds remain evenly distributed. Historical climatology for late August places the average daily maximum near 16°C, so this cooler pattern reflects the influence of recent high-pressure dominance and stable air mass rather than any rapid shift. Updated model runs and local observations through the morning will refine the precise peak ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions