Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 29–32°C for Qingdao on August 25 under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow at 3–5 m/s, following several days of rain and cloud cover that moderated temperatures. Historical August averages hover around 28–29°C, with recent observed highs near 30–31°C, yet model spreads and potential for brief clearing create room for a modest uptick. Trader-implied odds favor 32–33°C as the most probable resolution thresholds given these conditions and limited intensification signals, though the next official update could refine steering patterns or cloud cover.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日青島氣溫最高?
33°C 41%
32°C 23%
34°C 22%
31°C 9%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
23%
33°C
41%
34°C
22%
35°C或以上
3%
33°C 41%
32°C 23%
34°C 22%
31°C 9%
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
23%
33°C
41%
34°C
22%
35°C或以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 29–32°C for Qingdao on August 25 under partly cloudy skies and southerly flow at 3–5 m/s, following several days of rain and cloud cover that moderated temperatures. Historical August averages hover around 28–29°C, with recent observed highs near 30–31°C, yet model spreads and potential for brief clearing create room for a modest uptick. Trader-implied odds favor 32–33°C as the most probable resolution thresholds given these conditions and limited intensification signals, though the next official update could refine steering patterns or cloud cover.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions