Current numerical weather prediction models for Qingdao show overnight cooling potential under increasing cloud cover and light rain expected through August 24–25, with steering patterns favoring slightly below-normal minimums relative to the August climatological low near 23–24°C. This supports the market-implied lead for 22°C or below at 49.5%, while the cluster of probabilities around 24–26°C reflects model consensus on a most-likely range of 25–27°C amid moderating humidity and light winds. Upcoming updates from regional forecast offices and refined high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution as the 25th approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日青島最低氣溫？
8月25日青島最低氣溫？
28°C 51%
22°C或以下 49%
32°C或更高 48%
30°C 46%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
22°C或以下
49%
23°C
24%
24°C
24%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
51%
29°C
2%
30°C
46%
31°C
46%
32°C或更高
48%
28°C 51%
22°C或以下 49%
32°C或更高 48%
30°C 46%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
22°C或以下
$0 交易量
49%
23°C
$0 交易量
24%
24°C
$0 交易量
24%
25°C
$0 交易量
26%
26°C
$0 交易量
27%
27°C
$0 交易量
27%
28°C
$5 交易量
51%
29°C
$5 交易量
2%
30°C
$5 交易量
46%
31°C
$5 交易量
46%
32°C或更高
$5 交易量
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models for Qingdao show overnight cooling potential under increasing cloud cover and light rain expected through August 24–25, with steering patterns favoring slightly below-normal minimums relative to the August climatological low near 23–24°C. This supports the market-implied lead for 22°C or below at 49.5%, while the cluster of probabilities around 24–26°C reflects model consensus on a most-likely range of 25–27°C amid moderating humidity and light winds. Upcoming updates from regional forecast offices and refined high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution as the 25th approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$25結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models for Qingdao show overnight cooling potential under increasing cloud cover and light rain expected through August 24–25, with steering patterns favoring slightly below-normal minimums relative to the August climatological low near 23–24°C. This supports the market-implied lead for 22°C or below at 49.5%, while the cluster of probabilities around 24–26°C reflects model consensus on a most-likely range of 25–27°C amid moderating humidity and light winds. Upcoming updates from regional forecast offices and refined high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution as the 25th approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETCurrent numerical weather prediction models for Qingdao show overnight cooling potential under increasing cloud cover and light rain expected through August 24–25, with steering patterns favoring slightly below-normal minimums relative to the August climatological low near 23–24°C. This supports the market-implied lead for 22°C or below at 49.5%, while the cluster of probabilities around 24–26°C reflects model consensus on a most-likely range of 25–27°C amid moderating humidity and light winds. Upcoming updates from regional forecast offices and refined high-resolution runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the distribution as the 25th approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions