Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration guidance indicate Beijing’s August 25 maximum will likely fall between 31–33 °C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon convection typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions. This tight clustering of market-implied odds around those three outcomes reflects model consensus on moderate southerly flow and high humidity that limits peak insolation, while small differences hinge on the precise timing, coverage, and intensity of thunderstorms that can enhance evaporative cooling or allow brief clearer intervals for greater surface heating. Historical late-August climatology centers near 30 °C, with urban heat-island effects and soil moisture from prior rainfall adding further variability; traders are closely monitoring updated model runs and official briefings for any shifts in convective timing ahead of the 25th.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日北京最高溫度？
8月25日北京最高溫度？
32°C 30%
31°C 25%
33°C 24%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
11%
30°C
11%
31°C
25%
32°C
30%
33°C
24%
34°C
11%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 30%
31°C 25%
33°C 24%
29°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
26°C or below
$0 交易量
1%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$20 交易量
2%
29°C
$20 交易量
11%
30°C
$5 交易量
11%
31°C
$19 交易量
25%
32°C
$21 交易量
30%
33°C
$35 交易量
24%
34°C
$13 交易量
11%
35°C
$10 交易量
7%
36°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration guidance indicate Beijing’s August 25 maximum will likely fall between 31–33 °C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon convection typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions. This tight clustering of market-implied odds around those three outcomes reflects model consensus on moderate southerly flow and high humidity that limits peak insolation, while small differences hinge on the precise timing, coverage, and intensity of thunderstorms that can enhance evaporative cooling or allow brief clearer intervals for greater surface heating. Historical late-August climatology centers near 30 °C, with urban heat-island effects and soil moisture from prior rainfall adding further variability; traders are closely monitoring updated model runs and official briefings for any shifts in convective timing ahead of the 25th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$128結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration guidance indicate Beijing’s August 25 maximum will likely fall between 31–33 °C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon convection typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions. This tight clustering of market-implied odds around those three outcomes reflects model consensus on moderate southerly flow and high humidity that limits peak insolation, while small differences hinge on the precise timing, coverage, and intensity of thunderstorms that can enhance evaporative cooling or allow brief clearer intervals for greater surface heating. Historical late-August climatology centers near 30 °C, with urban heat-island effects and soil moisture from prior rainfall adding further variability; traders are closely monitoring updated model runs and official briefings for any shifts in convective timing ahead of the 25th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$128結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF, GFS, and China Meteorological Administration guidance indicate Beijing’s August 25 maximum will likely fall between 31–33 °C amid partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon convection typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon conditions. This tight clustering of market-implied odds around those three outcomes reflects model consensus on moderate southerly flow and high humidity that limits peak insolation, while small differences hinge on the precise timing, coverage, and intensity of thunderstorms that can enhance evaporative cooling or allow brief clearer intervals for greater surface heating. Historical late-August climatology centers near 30 °C, with urban heat-island effects and soil moisture from prior rainfall adding further variability; traders are closely monitoring updated model runs and official briefings for any shifts in convective timing ahead of the 25th.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions