Recent short-term forecasts for Toronto indicate a cloudy pattern with a 40% chance of showers on August 23, supporting daily highs near 21°C amid moderating winds and reduced insolation. Model consensus from Environment Canada and regional guidance highlights uncertainty from variable cloud cover and convective timing, which can suppress peak readings by 2–4°C compared to clearer analogs. With August climatology showing late-month highs averaging 24–25°C, the even distribution across 19–24°C outcomes reflects traders weighting precipitation risk and diurnal heating against historical baselines, while extremes remain discounted due to limited model spread this close to verification. Updated NWP runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine resolution criteria around the official observed maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日多倫多氣溫最高？
8月23日多倫多氣溫最高？
21°C 36%
20°C 23%
22°C 20%
19°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
13%
20°C
23%
21°C
36%
22°C
20%
23°C
9%
24°C
8%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 36%
20°C 23%
22°C 20%
19°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
15°C or below
$80 交易量
1%
16°C
$0 交易量
1%
17°C
$0 交易量
1%
18°C
$0 交易量
1%
19°C
$7 交易量
13%
20°C
$31 交易量
23%
21°C
$21 交易量
36%
22°C
$22 交易量
20%
23°C
$12 交易量
9%
24°C
$7 交易量
8%
25°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts for Toronto indicate a cloudy pattern with a 40% chance of showers on August 23, supporting daily highs near 21°C amid moderating winds and reduced insolation. Model consensus from Environment Canada and regional guidance highlights uncertainty from variable cloud cover and convective timing, which can suppress peak readings by 2–4°C compared to clearer analogs. With August climatology showing late-month highs averaging 24–25°C, the even distribution across 19–24°C outcomes reflects traders weighting precipitation risk and diurnal heating against historical baselines, while extremes remain discounted due to limited model spread this close to verification. Updated NWP runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine resolution criteria around the official observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$180結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts for Toronto indicate a cloudy pattern with a 40% chance of showers on August 23, supporting daily highs near 21°C amid moderating winds and reduced insolation. Model consensus from Environment Canada and regional guidance highlights uncertainty from variable cloud cover and convective timing, which can suppress peak readings by 2–4°C compared to clearer analogs. With August climatology showing late-month highs averaging 24–25°C, the even distribution across 19–24°C outcomes reflects traders weighting precipitation risk and diurnal heating against historical baselines, while extremes remain discounted due to limited model spread this close to verification. Updated NWP runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine resolution criteria around the official observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$180結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETRecent short-term forecasts for Toronto indicate a cloudy pattern with a 40% chance of showers on August 23, supporting daily highs near 21°C amid moderating winds and reduced insolation. Model consensus from Environment Canada and regional guidance highlights uncertainty from variable cloud cover and convective timing, which can suppress peak readings by 2–4°C compared to clearer analogs. With August climatology showing late-month highs averaging 24–25°C, the even distribution across 19–24°C outcomes reflects traders weighting precipitation risk and diurnal heating against historical baselines, while extremes remain discounted due to limited model spread this close to verification. Updated NWP runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine resolution criteria around the official observed maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions