Trader sentiment centers on Shenzhen's typical late-August nocturnal cooling under humid subtropical conditions, with forecasts showing overnight lows near 26–27°C amid widespread cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms. Recent model consensus highlights how convective activity and elevated humidity limit radiational cooling, while variable steering flows introduce minor uncertainty in exact minimums. With leading outcomes clustered tightly at 25–27°C, traders weigh the balance between persistent moisture trapping heat versus any brief clear spells allowing slight drops. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers notes stable patterns through the 24th, underscoring why small forecast revisions could shift implied probabilities among these closely matched resolutions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日深圳最低溫度？
8月24日深圳最低溫度？
23°C 71%
26°C 46%
27°C 45%
25°C 43%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
21°C或以下
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
71%
24°C
12%
25°C
43%
26°C
46%
27°C
45%
28°C
21%
29°C
11%
30°C
23%
31°C或以上
5%
23°C 71%
26°C 46%
27°C 45%
25°C 43%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
21°C或以下
$672 交易量
1%
22°C
$199 交易量
1%
23°C
$5 交易量
71%
24°C
$0 交易量
12%
25°C
$0 交易量
43%
26°C
$0 交易量
46%
27°C
$0 交易量
45%
28°C
$0 交易量
21%
29°C
$0 交易量
11%
30°C
$5 交易量
23%
31°C或以上
$5 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on Shenzhen's typical late-August nocturnal cooling under humid subtropical conditions, with forecasts showing overnight lows near 26–27°C amid widespread cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms. Recent model consensus highlights how convective activity and elevated humidity limit radiational cooling, while variable steering flows introduce minor uncertainty in exact minimums. With leading outcomes clustered tightly at 25–27°C, traders weigh the balance between persistent moisture trapping heat versus any brief clear spells allowing slight drops. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers notes stable patterns through the 24th, underscoring why small forecast revisions could shift implied probabilities among these closely matched resolutions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$692結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on Shenzhen's typical late-August nocturnal cooling under humid subtropical conditions, with forecasts showing overnight lows near 26–27°C amid widespread cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms. Recent model consensus highlights how convective activity and elevated humidity limit radiational cooling, while variable steering flows introduce minor uncertainty in exact minimums. With leading outcomes clustered tightly at 25–27°C, traders weigh the balance between persistent moisture trapping heat versus any brief clear spells allowing slight drops. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers notes stable patterns through the 24th, underscoring why small forecast revisions could shift implied probabilities among these closely matched resolutions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$692結束日期
2026-08-24市場開放時間
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETTrader sentiment centers on Shenzhen's typical late-August nocturnal cooling under humid subtropical conditions, with forecasts showing overnight lows near 26–27°C amid widespread cloud cover and isolated thunderstorms. Recent model consensus highlights how convective activity and elevated humidity limit radiational cooling, while variable steering flows introduce minor uncertainty in exact minimums. With leading outcomes clustered tightly at 25–27°C, traders weigh the balance between persistent moisture trapping heat versus any brief clear spells allowing slight drops. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers notes stable patterns through the 24th, underscoring why small forecast revisions could shift implied probabilities among these closely matched resolutions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions