Recent forecasts and official observations position 27°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s minimum temperature on August 24, reflecting the city’s typical late-August subtropical pattern of overnight lows near 26–28°C amid high humidity and limited radiative cooling. The August 20 resolution at exactly 27°C, combined with model consensus showing stable warm nights and no incoming cold air masses or typhoon influences, supports trader preference for the 27°C and 28°C bins. Urban heat retention and prevailing southerly flow further anchor probabilities near climatological norms, with shorter-range updates from monitoring agencies likely to refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日上海最低溫度?
27°C 53%
28°C 24%
26°C 13%
29°C 9%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
7%
26°C
13%
27°C
45%
28°C
24%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
4%
27°C 53%
28°C 24%
26°C 13%
29°C 9%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
7%
26°C
13%
27°C
45%
28°C
24%
29°C
9%
30°C
1%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts and official observations position 27°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s minimum temperature on August 24, reflecting the city’s typical late-August subtropical pattern of overnight lows near 26–28°C amid high humidity and limited radiative cooling. The August 20 resolution at exactly 27°C, combined with model consensus showing stable warm nights and no incoming cold air masses or typhoon influences, supports trader preference for the 27°C and 28°C bins. Urban heat retention and prevailing southerly flow further anchor probabilities near climatological norms, with shorter-range updates from monitoring agencies likely to refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions