Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional agencies indicate Beijing's August 24 overnight low will likely range 21–24°C, driven by lingering summer monsoon moisture, variable thunderstorm activity, and moderating high pressure. Cloud cover and rainfall can suppress radiative cooling, keeping minima near 23°C, while clearer intervals or stronger northeasterly flow allow drops toward 19°C or below. Historical August baselines show average lows near 20–22°C, with urban heat retention in Beijing adding slight warmth. The near-even market split between 23°C and sub-20°C outcomes reflects model spread in precipitation timing and wind patterns ahead of the 48-hour window, with fresh guidance expected to narrow uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月24日北京最低溫度?
19°C or below 84%
29°C或以上 48%
21°C 46%
23°C 43%
19°C or below
84%
20°C
26%
21°C
46%
22°C
24%
23°C
43%
24°C
28%
25°C
27%
26°C
24%
27°C
24%
28°C
8%
29°C或以上
48%
19°C or below 84%
29°C或以上 48%
21°C 46%
23°C 43%
19°C or below
84%
20°C
26%
21°C
46%
22°C
24%
23°C
43%
24°C
28%
25°C
27%
26°C
24%
27°C
24%
28°C
8%
29°C或以上
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and regional agencies indicate Beijing's August 24 overnight low will likely range 21–24°C, driven by lingering summer monsoon moisture, variable thunderstorm activity, and moderating high pressure. Cloud cover and rainfall can suppress radiative cooling, keeping minima near 23°C, while clearer intervals or stronger northeasterly flow allow drops toward 19°C or below. Historical August baselines show average lows near 20–22°C, with urban heat retention in Beijing adding slight warmth. The near-even market split between 23°C and sub-20°C outcomes reflects model spread in precipitation timing and wind patterns ahead of the 48-hour window, with fresh guidance expected to narrow uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions