Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services indicate Beijing's late-August minimum temperatures typically range 20–24°C amid lingering summer monsoon influences and frequent afternoon thunderstorms, which enhance overnight radiative cooling and evaporative effects. Trader emphasis on the 19°C-or-below outcome at 43.5% reflects model consensus for possible rain-cooled nights around August 23, with current patterns showing scattered showers and cloud cover through the period that suppress daytime heat retention. Historical baselines place average August lows near 21°C, yet short-term variability from steering flows and humidity spikes can shift minima by several degrees. Upcoming official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日北京最低溫度？
8月23日北京最低溫度？
19°C or below 84%
28°C 51%
20°C 49%
24°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
19°C or below
84%
20°C
49%
21°C
25%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C
29%
25°C
29%
26°C
26%
27°C
23%
28°C
51%
29°C or higher
2%
19°C or below 84%
28°C 51%
20°C 49%
24°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
19°C or below
$5 交易量
84%
20°C
$5 交易量
49%
21°C
$0 交易量
25%
22°C
$0 交易量
26%
23°C
$0 交易量
26%
24°C
$0 交易量
29%
25°C
$0 交易量
29%
26°C
$0 交易量
26%
27°C
$75 交易量
23%
28°C
$5 交易量
51%
29°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services indicate Beijing's late-August minimum temperatures typically range 20–24°C amid lingering summer monsoon influences and frequent afternoon thunderstorms, which enhance overnight radiative cooling and evaporative effects. Trader emphasis on the 19°C-or-below outcome at 43.5% reflects model consensus for possible rain-cooled nights around August 23, with current patterns showing scattered showers and cloud cover through the period that suppress daytime heat retention. Historical baselines place average August lows near 21°C, yet short-term variability from steering flows and humidity spikes can shift minima by several degrees. Upcoming official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$95結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services indicate Beijing's late-August minimum temperatures typically range 20–24°C amid lingering summer monsoon influences and frequent afternoon thunderstorms, which enhance overnight radiative cooling and evaporative effects. Trader emphasis on the 19°C-or-below outcome at 43.5% reflects model consensus for possible rain-cooled nights around August 23, with current patterns showing scattered showers and cloud cover through the period that suppress daytime heat retention. Historical baselines place average August lows near 21°C, yet short-term variability from steering flows and humidity spikes can shift minima by several degrees. Upcoming official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$95結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological services indicate Beijing's late-August minimum temperatures typically range 20–24°C amid lingering summer monsoon influences and frequent afternoon thunderstorms, which enhance overnight radiative cooling and evaporative effects. Trader emphasis on the 19°C-or-below outcome at 43.5% reflects model consensus for possible rain-cooled nights around August 23, with current patterns showing scattered showers and cloud cover through the period that suppress daytime heat retention. Historical baselines place average August lows near 21°C, yet short-term variability from steering flows and humidity spikes can shift minima by several degrees. Upcoming official updates from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions